The National Weather Service's latest guidance pins Miami's March 28 high temperature in the low to mid-80s°F range, driving market-implied odds toward 82-83°F (37%) and 84-85°F (26%) as leading outcomes. This trader consensus reflects a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge over Florida, fostering clear skies, light southerly winds, and efficient daytime heating per the most recent 00Z GFS and ECMWF runs, which trended slightly warmer over the past 24 hours. March climatology averages 79°F highs with a standard deviation of 4-5°F, but current ridging suppresses sea-breeze convection and boosts subsidence warming. Uncertainty lingers in precise peak timing amid model spread; 12Z updates from NOAA forecast offices will provide final refinements before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Miami em 28 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Miami em 28 de março?
82-83°F 36%
84-85°F 25%
80-81°F 22%
30°C a 30,5°C 13%
73°F ou menos
1%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
36%
84-85°F
25%
30°C a 30,5°C
17%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
2%
92°F ou mais
<1%
82-83°F 36%
84-85°F 25%
80-81°F 22%
30°C a 30,5°C 13%
73°F ou menos
1%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
36%
84-85°F
25%
30°C a 30,5°C
17%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
2%
92°F ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The National Weather Service's latest guidance pins Miami's March 28 high temperature in the low to mid-80s°F range, driving market-implied odds toward 82-83°F (37%) and 84-85°F (26%) as leading outcomes. This trader consensus reflects a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge over Florida, fostering clear skies, light southerly winds, and efficient daytime heating per the most recent 00Z GFS and ECMWF runs, which trended slightly warmer over the past 24 hours. March climatology averages 79°F highs with a standard deviation of 4-5°F, but current ridging suppresses sea-breeze convection and boosts subsidence warming. Uncertainty lingers in precise peak timing amid model spread; 12Z updates from NOAA forecast offices will provide final refinements before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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