National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high temperature of around 82°F in Miami on March 27, driving trader consensus toward the 82-83°F (33.5%) and 80-81°F (26.5%) outcomes as the market-implied favorites. This positioning reflects the latest GFS and ECMWF model ensemble runs over the past 24 hours, showing a mid-level ridge strengthening over Florida amid light southerly winds and sea surface temperatures near 78°F, favoring mild warmth without extreme heat. Historical March highs in Miami average 82°F, with current guidance aligning closely, though minor discrepancies in boundary layer mixing create uncertainty between these bins. Diurnal maximums could vary by 2-3°F based on cloud cover and sea breeze timing; check NWS updates at 8 AM ET for refined probabilities before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Miami on March 27?
Highest temperature in Miami on March 27?
82-83°F 33%
80-81°F 29%
84-85°F 18%
78-79°F 12%
$18,047 Vol.
$18,047 Vol.
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
12%
80-81°F
29%
82-83°F
33%
84-85°F
18%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
2%
90°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 33%
80-81°F 29%
84-85°F 18%
78-79°F 12%
$18,047 Vol.
$18,047 Vol.
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
12%
80-81°F
29%
82-83°F
33%
84-85°F
18%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
2%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high temperature of around 82°F in Miami on March 27, driving trader consensus toward the 82-83°F (33.5%) and 80-81°F (26.5%) outcomes as the market-implied favorites. This positioning reflects the latest GFS and ECMWF model ensemble runs over the past 24 hours, showing a mid-level ridge strengthening over Florida amid light southerly winds and sea surface temperatures near 78°F, favoring mild warmth without extreme heat. Historical March highs in Miami average 82°F, with current guidance aligning closely, though minor discrepancies in boundary layer mixing create uncertainty between these bins. Diurnal maximums could vary by 2-3°F based on cloud cover and sea breeze timing; check NWS updates at 8 AM ET for refined probabilities before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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