Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a maximum temperature of 32°C or below in Lucknow on March 27 (96% implied probability), driven by the latest forecasts from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) projecting daytime highs of 30–32°C amid persistent cool northerly winds and cloudy skies from a recent western disturbance. Current observational data shows Lucknow's temperatures lingering in the low 30s over the past week, well below seasonal norms of 33–35°C, with no heat dome or high-pressure ridge indicated in ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF. This positioning reflects strong meteorological agreement on subdued solar heating and potential light showers suppressing peaks. Realistic challenges include an abrupt clearing of clouds allowing unhindered insolation, though model uncertainty remains low with daily IMD updates expected by morning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Lucknow em 27 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Lucknow em 27 de março?
32°C ou menos 96.5%
33°C 2.3%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$73,703 Vol.
$73,703 Vol.
Mar 27, 2026
32°C ou menos
97%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C ou mais
<1%
32°C ou menos 96.5%
33°C 2.3%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$73,703 Vol.
$73,703 Vol.
Mar 27, 2026
32°C ou menos
$11,625 Vol.
97%
33°C
$6,333 Vol.
2%
34°C
$5,145 Vol.
1%
35°C
$9,506 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$4,758 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$5,916 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$3,288 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$3,805 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$2,662 Vol.
<1%
41°C
$3,356 Vol.
<1%
42°C ou mais
$17,315 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a maximum temperature of 32°C or below in Lucknow on March 27 (96% implied probability), driven by the latest forecasts from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) projecting daytime highs of 30–32°C amid persistent cool northerly winds and cloudy skies from a recent western disturbance. Current observational data shows Lucknow's temperatures lingering in the low 30s over the past week, well below seasonal norms of 33–35°C, with no heat dome or high-pressure ridge indicated in ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF. This positioning reflects strong meteorological agreement on subdued solar heating and potential light showers suppressing peaks. Realistic challenges include an abrupt clearing of clouds allowing unhindered insolation, though model uncertainty remains low with daily IMD updates expected by morning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volume
$73,703Data de Término
Mar 27, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a maximum temperature of 32°C or below in Lucknow on March 27 (96% implied probability), driven by the latest forecasts from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) projecting daytime highs of 30–32°C amid persistent cool northerly winds and cloudy skies from a recent western disturbance. Current observational data shows Lucknow's temperatures lingering in the low 30s over the past week, well below seasonal norms of 33–35°C, with no heat dome or high-pressure ridge indicated in ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF. This positioning reflects strong meteorological agreement on subdued solar heating and potential light showers suppressing peaks. Realistic challenges include an abrupt clearing of clouds allowing unhindered insolation, though model uncertainty remains low with daily IMD updates expected by morning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$73,703Data de Término
Mar 27, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a maximum temperature of 32°C or below in Lucknow on March 27 (96% implied probability), driven by the latest forecasts from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) projecting daytime highs of 30–32°C amid persistent cool northerly winds and cloudy skies from a recent western disturbance. Current observational data shows Lucknow's temperatures lingering in the low 30s over the past week, well below seasonal norms of 33–35°C, with no heat dome or high-pressure ridge indicated in ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF. This positioning reflects strong meteorological agreement on subdued solar heating and potential light showers suppressing peaks. Realistic challenges include an abrupt clearing of clouds allowing unhindered insolation, though model uncertainty remains low with daily IMD updates expected by morning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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