Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 33–35°C for Lucknow's highest temperature on March 27, driven by India Meteorological Department (IMD) ensemble forecasts projecting a daytime peak near 34°C amid clear skies and light northeasterly winds. Recent observations show overnight lows around 20°C with soil moisture deficits from prior dry spells accelerating afternoon heating, per IMD's latest synoptic charts. Historical data for late March in Lucknow averages 32–34°C maxima, but this year's early warming—linked to a weakening western disturbance—nudges models toward 34–35°C, with slight divergences in global ensembles like GFS (34.5°C) versus ECMWF (33.8°C). Low probabilities for extremes reflect negligible heatwave signals, though traders eye hourly airport readings for final resolution amid typical 1–2°C forecast uncertainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Lucknow em 27 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Lucknow em 27 de março?
33°C 29%
34°C 27%
35°C 21%
32°C ou menos 12%
32°C ou menos
12%
33°C
29%
34°C
27%
35°C
21%
36°C
11%
37°C
6%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C ou mais
<1%
33°C 29%
34°C 27%
35°C 21%
32°C ou menos 12%
32°C ou menos
12%
33°C
29%
34°C
27%
35°C
21%
36°C
11%
37°C
6%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 33–35°C for Lucknow's highest temperature on March 27, driven by India Meteorological Department (IMD) ensemble forecasts projecting a daytime peak near 34°C amid clear skies and light northeasterly winds. Recent observations show overnight lows around 20°C with soil moisture deficits from prior dry spells accelerating afternoon heating, per IMD's latest synoptic charts. Historical data for late March in Lucknow averages 32–34°C maxima, but this year's early warming—linked to a weakening western disturbance—nudges models toward 34–35°C, with slight divergences in global ensembles like GFS (34.5°C) versus ECMWF (33.8°C). Low probabilities for extremes reflect negligible heatwave signals, though traders eye hourly airport readings for final resolution amid typical 1–2°C forecast uncertainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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