Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a unanimous 100% implied probability for Los Angeles' highest temperature on March 26 falling in the 70-71°F range, anchored by the National Weather Service's latest forecast pinpointing a daytime high of 71°F at key downtown observation stations like USC or Burbank. Over the past 48 hours, GFS and ECMWF model ensembles have converged on this outcome amid persistent marine layer clouds, cool onshore breezes, and upper-level high pressure stifling any heat potential—conditions verified by morning soundings showing low-level stability. Climatologically mild for late March, this aligns with recent El Niño-fueled cooler patterns. Realistic challenges would require an abrupt wind shift or station-specific microclimate anomaly, with official daily summaries expected by evening to confirm resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Los Angeles on March 26?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 26?
70-71°F 100.0%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$81,876 Vol.
$81,876 Vol.
70-71°F
100%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 100.0%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$81,876 Vol.
$81,876 Vol.
70-71°F
100%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 22, 2026, 6:23 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a unanimous 100% implied probability for Los Angeles' highest temperature on March 26 falling in the 70-71°F range, anchored by the National Weather Service's latest forecast pinpointing a daytime high of 71°F at key downtown observation stations like USC or Burbank. Over the past 48 hours, GFS and ECMWF model ensembles have converged on this outcome amid persistent marine layer clouds, cool onshore breezes, and upper-level high pressure stifling any heat potential—conditions verified by morning soundings showing low-level stability. Climatologically mild for late March, this aligns with recent El Niño-fueled cooler patterns. Realistic challenges would require an abrupt wind shift or station-specific microclimate anomaly, with official daily summaries expected by evening to confirm resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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