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Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 26?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 26?

70-71°F 100.0%

72-73°F <1%

74-75°F <1%

76-77°F <1%

Polymarket

$81,876 Vol.

70-71°F 100.0%

72-73°F <1%

74-75°F <1%

76-77°F <1%

Polymarket

$81,876 Vol.

70-71°F

$12,059 Vol.

100%

72-73°F

$5,839 Vol.

<1%

74-75°F

$5,752 Vol.

<1%

76-77°F

$4,884 Vol.

<1%

78-79°F

$3,824 Vol.

<1%

80-81°F

$6,416 Vol.

<1%

82-83°F

$7,639 Vol.

<1%

84-85°F

$7,705 Vol.

<1%

86°F or higher

$11,242 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a unanimous 100% implied probability for Los Angeles' highest temperature on March 26 falling in the 70-71°F range, anchored by the National Weather Service's latest forecast pinpointing a daytime high of 71°F at key downtown observation stations like USC or Burbank. Over the past 48 hours, GFS and ECMWF model ensembles have converged on this outcome amid persistent marine layer clouds, cool onshore breezes, and upper-level high pressure stifling any heat potential—conditions verified by morning soundings showing low-level stability. Climatologically mild for late March, this aligns with recent El Niño-fueled cooler patterns. Realistic challenges would require an abrupt wind shift or station-specific microclimate anomaly, with official daily summaries expected by evening to confirm resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$81,876
Data de Término
Mar 26, 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 22, 2026, 6:23 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a unanimous 100% implied probability for Los Angeles' highest temperature on March 26 falling in the 70-71°F range, anchored by the National Weather Service's latest forecast pinpointing a daytime high of 71°F at key downtown observation stations like USC or Burbank. Over the past 48 hours, GFS and ECMWF model ensembles have converged on this outcome amid persistent marine layer clouds, cool onshore breezes, and upper-level high pressure stifling any heat potential—conditions verified by morning soundings showing low-level stability. Climatologically mild for late March, this aligns with recent El Niño-fueled cooler patterns. Realistic challenges would require an abrupt wind shift or station-specific microclimate anomaly, with official daily summaries expected by evening to confirm resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a unanimous 100% implied probability for Los Angeles' highest temperature on March 26 falling in the 70-71°F range, anchored by the National Weather Service's latest forecast pinpointing a daytime high of 71°F at key downtown observation stations like USC or Burbank. Over the past 48 hours, GFS and ECMWF model ensembles have converged on this outcome amid persistent marine layer clouds, cool onshore breezes, and upper-level high pressure stifling any heat potential—conditions verified by morning soundings showing low-level stability. Climatologically mild for late March, this aligns with recent El Niño-fueled cooler patterns. Realistic challenges would require an abrupt wind shift or station-specific microclimate anomaly, with official daily summaries expected by evening to confirm resolution.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 26?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "70-71°F" at 100%, followed by "72-73°F" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 26?" has generated $81.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 22, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 26?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 26?" is "70-71°F" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "72-73°F" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 26?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.