Latest National Weather Service forecasts and model ensembles from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF point to a high temperature near 82°F in Denver on March 26, aligning with the 24% market-implied probability for 82-83°F as traders weigh strengthening high-pressure ridging over the central Rockies driving downslope winds and adiabatic warming. This setup favors above-normal warmth—well exceeding the March climatological average of 57°F—but close clustering among 78-85°F bins (top four totaling ~66%) reflects uncertainty in peak afternoon heating, cloud cover variability, and exact ridge axis positioning. Yesterday's 12Z model runs trended slightly warmer, boosting mid-80s odds, while evening updates from NWS Denver could refine guidance amid dry conditions and strong solar insolation at 5,280 feet elevation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Denver on March 26?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 26?
82-83°F 25%
78-79°F 15%
84-85°F 13.8%
76-77°F 13%
$31,839 Vol.
$31,839 Vol.
71°F or below
3%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
15%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
4%
90°F or higher
2%
82-83°F 25%
78-79°F 15%
84-85°F 13.8%
76-77°F 13%
$31,839 Vol.
$31,839 Vol.
71°F or below
3%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
15%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
4%
90°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 22, 2026, 6:26 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts and model ensembles from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF point to a high temperature near 82°F in Denver on March 26, aligning with the 24% market-implied probability for 82-83°F as traders weigh strengthening high-pressure ridging over the central Rockies driving downslope winds and adiabatic warming. This setup favors above-normal warmth—well exceeding the March climatological average of 57°F—but close clustering among 78-85°F bins (top four totaling ~66%) reflects uncertainty in peak afternoon heating, cloud cover variability, and exact ridge axis positioning. Yesterday's 12Z model runs trended slightly warmer, boosting mid-80s odds, while evening updates from NWS Denver could refine guidance amid dry conditions and strong solar insolation at 5,280 feet elevation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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