Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas-Fort Worth peg the March 26 high temperature at 86-89°F, aligning with the top market-implied outcomes where traders assign 36.5% to 86-87°F and 30.5% to 88-89°F, reflecting model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs updated in the past 24 hours. A persistent upper-level ridge over the southern Plains promotes subsidence and clear skies, maximizing solar heating on dry soils with low evapotranspiration, pushing readings well above the March climatological average of 72°F. Minor differentiation arises from uncertainties in afternoon cloud development and boundary layer mixing, with the 84-85°F bin (24.5%) capturing cooler model outliers. Observational data from Dallas Love Field and DFW Airport will resolve the market by evening, as peak heating typically occurs 2-4 PM CDT.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Dallas em 26 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Dallas em 26 de março?
30-31°C 37%
88-89°F 32%
84-85°F 25%
32-33°C 7%
$36,547 Vol.
$36,547 Vol.
79°F ou menos
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
25%
30-31°C
37%
88-89°F
32%
32-33°C
7%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F ou mais
<1%
30-31°C 37%
88-89°F 32%
84-85°F 25%
32-33°C 7%
$36,547 Vol.
$36,547 Vol.
79°F ou menos
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
25%
30-31°C
37%
88-89°F
32%
32-33°C
7%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas-Fort Worth peg the March 26 high temperature at 86-89°F, aligning with the top market-implied outcomes where traders assign 36.5% to 86-87°F and 30.5% to 88-89°F, reflecting model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs updated in the past 24 hours. A persistent upper-level ridge over the southern Plains promotes subsidence and clear skies, maximizing solar heating on dry soils with low evapotranspiration, pushing readings well above the March climatological average of 72°F. Minor differentiation arises from uncertainties in afternoon cloud development and boundary layer mixing, with the 84-85°F bin (24.5%) capturing cooler model outliers. Observational data from Dallas Love Field and DFW Airport will resolve the market by evening, as peak heating typically occurs 2-4 PM CDT.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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