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Eleições·Primárias

GA-05 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

Market icon
Eleições·Primárias

GA-05 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

Nikema Williams 93%

Victor Hill 3.1%

Andres Castro 3.0%

Arnetress Beatty 2.5%

Polymarket
NEW

Nikema Williams 93%

Victor Hill 3.1%

Andres Castro 3.0%

Arnetress Beatty 2.5%

Polymarket
NEW

Nikema Williams

$0 Vol.

93%

Victor Hill

$545 Vol.

3%

Andres Castro

$0 Vol.

3%

Arnetress Beatty

$0 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the GA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Nikema Williams holds a commanding 91% implied probability in the GA-05 Democratic primary on May 21, driven by her strong incumbency advantage in the safely Democratic Atlanta district, overwhelming fundraising edge—over $500,000 raised versus challengers' combined totals under $100,000—and consistent polling leads above 70% from recent FiveThirtyEight and local surveys. Challengers Victor Hill, Andres Castro, and Arnetress Beatty trail with minimal visibility, lacking major endorsements or momentum from recent debates or campaign events. Trader consensus reflects low upset risk, though scenarios like a damaging scandal, voter turnout surge in DeKalb County, or late absentee ballot shifts could challenge her position before polls close.

Incumbent Rep. Nikema Williams holds a commanding 91% implied probability in the GA-05 Democratic primary on May 21, driven by her strong incumbency advantage in the safely Democratic Atlanta district, overwhelming fundraising edge—over $500,000 raised versus challengers' combined totals under $100,000—and consistent polling leads above 70% from recent FiveThirtyEight and local surveys. Challengers Victor Hill, Andres Castro, and Arnetress Beatty trail with minimal visibility, lacking major endorsements or momentum from recent debates or campaign events. Trader consensus reflects low upset risk, though scenarios like a damaging scandal, voter turnout surge in DeKalb County, or late absentee ballot shifts could challenge her position before polls close.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the GA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Nikema Williams holds a commanding 91% implied probability in the GA-05 Democratic primary on May 21, driven by her strong incumbency advantage in the safely Democratic Atlanta district, overwhelming fundraising edge—over $500,000 raised versus challengers' combined totals under $100,000—and consistent polling leads above 70% from recent FiveThirtyEight and local surveys. Challengers Victor Hill, Andres Castro, and Arnetress Beatty trail with minimal visibility, lacking major endorsements or momentum from recent debates or campaign events. Trader consensus reflects low upset risk, though scenarios like a damaging scandal, voter turnout surge in DeKalb County, or late absentee ballot shifts could challenge her position before polls close.

Incumbent Rep. Nikema Williams holds a commanding 91% implied probability in the GA-05 Democratic primary on May 21, driven by her strong incumbency advantage in the safely Democratic Atlanta district, overwhelming fundraising edge—over $500,000 raised versus challengers' combined totals under $100,000—and consistent polling leads above 70% from recent FiveThirtyEight and local surveys. Challengers Victor Hill, Andres Castro, and Arnetress Beatty trail with minimal visibility, lacking major endorsements or momentum from recent debates or campaign events. Trader consensus reflects low upset risk, though scenarios like a damaging scandal, voter turnout surge in DeKalb County, or late absentee ballot shifts could challenge her position before polls close.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"GA-05 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nikema Williams" at 93%, followed by "Victor Hill" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 93¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"GA-05 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Feb 25, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "GA-05 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "GA-05 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is "Nikema Williams" at 93%, meaning the market assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Victor Hill" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "GA-05 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.