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Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Colorado

Market icon
Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Colorado

Mark Baisley 46%

Dathan Jones 20%

Janak Joshi 20%

George Washington Markert 11%

Polymarket
NEW

Mark Baisley 46%

Dathan Jones 20%

Janak Joshi 20%

George Washington Markert 11%

Polymarket
NEW

Mark Baisley

$0 Vol.

46%

Dathan Jones

$0 Vol.

20%

Janak Joshi

$1,060 Vol.

20%

George Washington Markert

$669 Vol.

11%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Colorado. If no 2026 Colorado Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Colorado Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Colorado. If no 2026 Colorado Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Colorado Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Colorado. If no 2026 Colorado Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Colorado Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Colorado. If no 2026 Colorado Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Colorado Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Colorado.

If no 2026 Colorado Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Colorado Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$1,729
Data de Término
Jun 30, 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 13, 2025, 1:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Colorado. If no 2026 Colorado Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Colorado Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Colorado. If no 2026 Colorado Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Colorado Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Colorado. If no 2026 Colorado Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Colorado Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Colorado. If no 2026 Colorado Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Colorado Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Colorado. If no 2026 Colorado Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Colorado Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Polls released in mid-June, including Emerson and RMG Research surveys, show state House Minority Leader Mark Baisley leading the Colorado Republican U.S. Senate primary field at 23-29%, bolstering his 45.5% implied probability as traders' top pick ahead of the June 25 vote. Baisley's edge stems from superior fundraising—over $450,000 raised with $300,000 cash on hand—and his prominent legislative role, appealing to establishment voters. El Paso County Commissioner Janak Joshi (20%) and rancher Dathan Jones (19.5%) trail closely, buoyed by Joshi's medical background and Jones' grassroots conservative support, while businessman George Washington Markert (11%) draws niche attention. Recent candidate debates and voter outreach have narrowed gaps but reinforced Baisley's polling lead amid GOP infighting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Colorado" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mark Baisley" at 46%, followed by "Dathan Jones" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Colorado" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Nov 13, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Colorado," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Colorado" is "Mark Baisley" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Dathan Jones" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Colorado" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.