Tom Begich leads Polymarket odds at 29% in the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial race, buoyed by early polling edges as a moderate Democrat in the state's top-four primary system, where vote fragmentation favors frontrunners. Republicans Treg Taylor and Bernadette Wilson tie at 20%, with Click Bishop and Nancy Dahlstrom at 11.5% each, reflecting a splintered conservative field amid incumbent Mike Dunleavy's term limit. The race stays tight due to Alaska's ranked-choice voting dynamics and undecided GOP consolidation, keeping separation elusive. Key catalysts ahead include fresh polls, fundraising disclosures, major endorsements like from Dunleavy, and further candidate announcements that could rally Republicans or boost Begich's crossover appeal.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTom Begich 28%
Bernadette Wilson 20%
Treg Taylor 16.6%
Nancy Dahlstrom 12%
$93,015 Vol.
$93,015 Vol.

Tom Begich
28%

Bernadette Wilson
20%

Treg Taylor
17%

Nancy Dahlstrom
12%

Lisa Murkowski
7%

Shelley Hughes
6%

David Bronson
4%

Mary Peltola
3%

Click Bishop
12%

James Parkin
1%

Matt Heilala
1%

Adam Crum
1%

Edna DeVries
<1%
Tom Begich 28%
Bernadette Wilson 20%
Treg Taylor 16.6%
Nancy Dahlstrom 12%
$93,015 Vol.
$93,015 Vol.

Tom Begich
28%

Bernadette Wilson
20%

Treg Taylor
17%

Nancy Dahlstrom
12%

Lisa Murkowski
7%

Shelley Hughes
6%

David Bronson
4%

Mary Peltola
3%

Click Bishop
12%

James Parkin
1%

Matt Heilala
1%

Adam Crum
1%

Edna DeVries
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tom Begich leads Polymarket odds at 29% in the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial race, buoyed by early polling edges as a moderate Democrat in the state's top-four primary system, where vote fragmentation favors frontrunners. Republicans Treg Taylor and Bernadette Wilson tie at 20%, with Click Bishop and Nancy Dahlstrom at 11.5% each, reflecting a splintered conservative field amid incumbent Mike Dunleavy's term limit. The race stays tight due to Alaska's ranked-choice voting dynamics and undecided GOP consolidation, keeping separation elusive. Key catalysts ahead include fresh polls, fundraising disclosures, major endorsements like from Dunleavy, and further candidate announcements that could rally Republicans or boost Begich's crossover appeal.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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