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Política·Derivativos

5+ days Gov Shutdown Odds >50% Monday Night (12-1 AM)?

Market icon
Política·Derivativos

5+ days Gov Shutdown Odds >50% Monday Night (12-1 AM)?

Ended: fev 3

mar 14

Ended: fev 3

mar 14

<1% acaso
Polymarket

$53,938 Vol.

<1% acaso
Polymarket

$53,938 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?' market in the Event 'How long will the Government Shutdown last?' (https://polymarket.com/event/how-long-will-the-next-government-shutdown-last) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 1-hour period between 12:00 AM and 12:59 AM ET on February 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/5-days-gov-shutdown-odds-50-monday-night-12-1-am or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at the relevant 1-hour window. This will display the 1-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?' market in the Event 'How long will the Government Shutdown last?' (https://polymarket.com/event/how-long-will-the-next-government-shutdown-last) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 1-hour period between 12:00 AM and 12:59 AM ET on February 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No".

If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.

The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/5-days-gov-shutdown-odds-50-monday-night-12-1-am or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at the relevant 1-hour window. This will display the 1-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.

Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com
Volume
$53,938
Data de Término
3 fev 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 2, 2026, 4:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?' market in the Event 'How long will the Government Shutdown last?' (https://polymarket.com/event/how-long-will-the-next-government-shutdown-last) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 1-hour period between 12:00 AM and 12:59 AM ET on February 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/5-days-gov-shutdown-odds-50-monday-night-12-1-am or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at the relevant 1-hour window. This will display the 1-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com

Resultado proposto: No

Sem contestação

Resultado final: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?' market in the Event 'How long will the Government Shutdown last?' (https://polymarket.com/event/how-long-will-the-next-government-shutdown-last) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 1-hour period between 12:00 AM and 12:59 AM ET on February 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/5-days-gov-shutdown-odds-50-monday-night-12-1-am or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at the relevant 1-hour window. This will display the 1-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?' market in the Event 'How long will the Government Shutdown last?' (https://polymarket.com/event/how-long-will-the-next-government-shutdown-last) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 1-hour period between 12:00 AM and 12:59 AM ET on February 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No".

If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.

The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/5-days-gov-shutdown-odds-50-monday-night-12-1-am or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at the relevant 1-hour window. This will display the 1-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.

Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com
Volume
$53,938
Data de Término
3 fev 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 2, 2026, 4:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?' market in the Event 'How long will the Government Shutdown last?' (https://polymarket.com/event/how-long-will-the-next-government-shutdown-last) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 1-hour period between 12:00 AM and 12:59 AM ET on February 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/5-days-gov-shutdown-odds-50-monday-night-12-1-am or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at the relevant 1-hour window. This will display the 1-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com

Resultado proposto: No

Sem contestação

Resultado final: No

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"5+ days Gov Shutdown Odds >50% Monday Night (12-1 AM)?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "5+ days Gov Shutdown Odds >50% Monday Night (12-1 AM)?" has generated $53.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "5+ days Gov Shutdown Odds >50% Monday Night (12-1 AM)?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "5+ days Gov Shutdown Odds >50% Monday Night (12-1 AM)?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "5+ days Gov Shutdown Odds >50% Monday Night (12-1 AM)?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.