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Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

52%

Republican Party

$2M Vol.

$241K Liq.

39

Ends in 6 months

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

83%

Democratic Party

$5M Vol.

$278K Liq.

1

Ends in 6 months

Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?

Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?

77%

May 31

$11.2K Vol.

$42.6K Liq.

Ends in 23 days

Alabama Republican Senate Primary Winner

Alabama Republican Senate Primary Winner

75%

Barry Moore

$74.6K Vol.

$49.2K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Kentucky Republican Senate Primary Winner

Kentucky Republican Senate Primary Winner

96%

Andy Barr

$189K Vol.

$91.5K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

South Carolina Republican Senate Primary Winner

South Carolina Republican Senate Primary Winner

87%

Lindsey Graham

$123K Vol.

$41.7K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Louisiana Republican Senate Primary Winner

Louisiana Republican Senate Primary Winner

53%

Julia Letlow

$256K Vol.

$116K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 days

West Virginia Democratic Senate Primary Winner

West Virginia Democratic Senate Primary Winner

86%

Jeffrey Kessler

$113K Vol.

$49.5K Liq.

5

Ends in 4 days

Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary Winner

69%

Ed Markey

$11.5K Vol.

$28.0K Liq.

1

Ends in 4 months

Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner

75%

Adam Hamilton

$119K Vol.

$104K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

26%

≤47

$2M Vol.

$163K Liq.

7

Georgia Republican Senate Primary Winner

Georgia Republican Senate Primary Winner

88%

Mike Collins

$594K Vol.

$76.0K Liq.

1

Ends in 11 days

Maine Senate Election Winner

Maine Senate Election Winner

74%

Democrat

$194K Vol.

$79.5K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

Illinois Senate Election Winner

Illinois Senate Election Winner

92%

Democrat

$23.5K Vol.

$16.7K Liq.

1

Ends in 6 months

Texas Senate Election Winner

Texas Senate Election Winner

55%

Republican

$197K Vol.

$66.8K Liq.

10

Ends in 6 months

New Mexico Senate Election Winner

New Mexico Senate Election Winner

96%

Democrat

$14.5K Vol.

$27.6K Liq.

1

Ends in 6 months

Michigan Senate Election Winner

Michigan Senate Election Winner

75%

Democrat

$109K Vol.

$30.0K Liq.

4

Ends in 6 months

Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner

99%

Graham Platner

$3M Vol.

$144K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

3%

$78.9K Vol.

$12.1K Liq.

9

Ends in 6 months

Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner

Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner

59%

David Brock Smith

$84.0K Vol.

$73.0K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 233 active markets for U.S. Senate that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which party will win the Senate in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $14.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which party will win the House in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Which party will win the House in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 83% chance to Democratic Party. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on U.S. Senate predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.