Incumbent Republican Senator Pete Ricketts holds a commanding trader consensus at 75% implied probability to win Nebraska's 2026 U.S. Senate race, reflecting the state's deep-red electoral history, his prior governorship, and incumbency edge in a midterm cycle favoring the party out of White House control. Recent polls, including Impact Research (February 2026) showing Ricketts edging independent Dan Osborn 48%-47%, underscore a competitive matchup but highlight GOP base strength. Democrat odds languish at 4% amid primary chaos: the Nebraska Democratic Party's late-March accusations labeling candidate William Forbes—a Trump-voting, anti-abortion pastor—a "Republican plant," alongside a Supreme Court ruling reinstating Cindy Burbank on the May 12 primary ballot after her removal. Forecasts like Cook Political Report's "Solid Republican" reinforce trader positioning ahead of the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$92,390 Vol.
$92,390 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Républicain
75%
Démocrate
4%
$92,390 Vol.
$92,390 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Républicain
$38,804 Vol.
75%
Démocrate
$53,586 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Senator Pete Ricketts holds a commanding trader consensus at 75% implied probability to win Nebraska's 2026 U.S. Senate race, reflecting the state's deep-red electoral history, his prior governorship, and incumbency edge in a midterm cycle favoring the party out of White House control. Recent polls, including Impact Research (February 2026) showing Ricketts edging independent Dan Osborn 48%-47%, underscore a competitive matchup but highlight GOP base strength. Democrat odds languish at 4% amid primary chaos: the Nebraska Democratic Party's late-March accusations labeling candidate William Forbes—a Trump-voting, anti-abortion pastor—a "Republican plant," alongside a Supreme Court ruling reinstating Cindy Burbank on the May 12 primary ballot after her removal. Forecasts like Cook Political Report's "Solid Republican" reinforce trader positioning ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Volume
$92,390Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Senator Pete Ricketts holds a commanding trader consensus at 75% implied probability to win Nebraska's 2026 U.S. Senate race, reflecting the state's deep-red electoral history, his prior governorship, and incumbency edge in a midterm cycle favoring the party out of White House control. Recent polls, including Impact Research (February 2026) showing Ricketts edging independent Dan Osborn 48%-47%, underscore a competitive matchup but highlight GOP base strength. Democrat odds languish at 4% amid primary chaos: the Nebraska Democratic Party's late-March accusations labeling candidate William Forbes—a Trump-voting, anti-abortion pastor—a "Republican plant," alongside a Supreme Court ruling reinstating Cindy Burbank on the May 12 primary ballot after her removal. Forecasts like Cook Political Report's "Solid Republican" reinforce trader positioning ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$92,390Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Senator Pete Ricketts holds a commanding trader consensus at 75% implied probability to win Nebraska's 2026 U.S. Senate race, reflecting the state's deep-red electoral history, his prior governorship, and incumbency edge in a midterm cycle favoring the party out of White House control. Recent polls, including Impact Research (February 2026) showing Ricketts edging independent Dan Osborn 48%-47%, underscore a competitive matchup but highlight GOP base strength. Democrat odds languish at 4% amid primary chaos: the Nebraska Democratic Party's late-March accusations labeling candidate William Forbes—a Trump-voting, anti-abortion pastor—a "Republican plant," alongside a Supreme Court ruling reinstating Cindy Burbank on the May 12 primary ballot after her removal. Forecasts like Cook Political Report's "Solid Republican" reinforce trader positioning ahead of the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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