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Politique·Midterms

Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Nebraska

Market icon
Politique·Midterms

Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Nebraska

$92,390 Vol.

Polymarket

$92,390 Vol.

Market icon

Républicain

$38,804 Vol.

75%

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Démocrate

$53,586 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Pete Ricketts' strong position in solidly red Nebraska, bolstered by his 2024 special election win and former governorship, drives trader consensus favoring a Republican Senate winner at 75% implied probability. Recent polls, including partisan surveys sponsored by challenger Dan Osborn (independent), show Ricketts leading narrowly by 1 point amid a tight race, but the state's GOP dominance and historical base rates for incumbents in safe seats underpin the edge. Democrat odds languish at 4.3% following turmoil in their May 12 primary: the Nebraska Supreme Court reinstated Cindy Burbank's ballot access on March 23, while William Forbes faces accusations of being a Republican "plant" due to his Trump support and conservative stances, with the state party opting not to field a serious contender and endorsing Osborn instead.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$92,390
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Pete Ricketts' strong position in solidly red Nebraska, bolstered by his 2024 special election win and former governorship, drives trader consensus favoring a Republican Senate winner at 75% implied probability. Recent polls, including partisan surveys sponsored by challenger Dan Osborn (independent), show Ricketts leading narrowly by 1 point amid a tight race, but the state's GOP dominance and historical base rates for incumbents in safe seats underpin the edge. Democrat odds languish at 4.3% following turmoil in their May 12 primary: the Nebraska Supreme Court reinstated Cindy Burbank's ballot access on March 23, while William Forbes faces accusations of being a Republican "plant" due to his Trump support and conservative stances, with the state party opting not to field a serious contender and endorsing Osborn instead.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$92,390
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

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Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Nebraska » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Républicain » à 75%, suivi de « Démocrate » à 4%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 75¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 75% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Nebraska » a généré $92.4K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Oct 13, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Nebraska », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Nebraska » est « Républicain » à 75%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 75% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Démocrate » à 4%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Nebraska » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.