SBF released from custody in 2026?

SBF released from custody in 2026?

11%

$304K Vol.

$32.9K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

56%

Donald Brodie

$132K Vol.

$102K Liq.

13

Ends in 9 months

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

25%

$0 Vol.

$4.1K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

59%

US x Iran Ceasefire

$92.5K Vol.

$37.1K Liq.

3

Ends in 7 months

Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Sinners (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffs

Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Sinners (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffs

100%

Sinners

$144K Vol.

$144K today

$314K Liq.

Ends in about 3 hours

Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs SportsBetExpert (BO3) - PGL Astana: North American Open Qualifier #1 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs SportsBetExpert (BO3) - PGL Astana: North American Open Qualifier #1 Playoffs

100%

Chicken Coop Esports

$0 Vol.

$1 Liq.

Sam Altman in jail by...?

Sam Altman in jail by...?

3%

June 30, 2026

$26.3K Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

6

What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (March 27)

What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (March 27)

96%

Trump

$4.2K Vol.

$3.1K Liq.

Ends in about 9 hours

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

34%

$87.4K Vol.

$14.8K Liq.

15

Ends in 9 months

Counter-Strike: Infinite vs BIG Academy (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Infinite vs BIG Academy (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

50%

BIG Academy

$0 Vol.

$324 Liq.

Ends in 1 day

WTT - Men's Singles: Snehit Suravajjula vs Joe Seyfried

WTT - Men's Singles: Snehit Suravajjula vs Joe Seyfried

100%

Seyfried

$107 Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

NCAA Tournament: Number of Rothstein “This is March” tweets

NCAA Tournament: Number of Rothstein “This is March” tweets

39%

51–60

$9.6K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

4

Ends in 11 days

Counter-Strike: STATE vs B8 Academy (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: STATE vs B8 Academy (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

100%

STATE

$533 Vol.

$900 Liq.

Anyone charged for doxing Delta Force commander heading Maduro grab by March 31?

Anyone charged for doxing Delta Force commander heading Maduro grab by March 31?

1%

$2.8K Vol.

$2.7K Liq.

2

Ends in 4 days

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

7%

$98.8K Vol.

$7.1K Liq.

1

Ends in 3 months

Which banks will fail by June 30?

Which banks will fail by June 30?

2%

BNP Paribas

$334K Vol.

$82.4K Liq.

7

Ends in 3 months

Counter-Strike: STATE vs BIG Academy (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: STATE vs BIG Academy (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

100%

BIG Academy

$23.0K Vol.

$399K Liq.

Ends in 32 minutes

Counter-Strike: Basement Bobs vs Vexar (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Play-In Play-In

Counter-Strike: Basement Bobs vs Vexar (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Play-In Play-In

100%

Basement Bobs

$101K Vol.

$101K today

$228K Liq.

Ends in about 3 hours

What will Trump say this week? (March 29)

What will Trump say this week? (March 29)

84%

UK / United Kingdom

$222K Vol.

$64.8K today

$20.5K Liq.

1

Ends in 2 days

Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs R2 Esports Club (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage

Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs R2 Esports Club (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage

81%

Fake do Biru

$6.0K Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Sam Bankman Fried.

Polymarket currently hosts 103 active markets for Sam Bankman Fried that lets you track or trade on predictions like “SBF released from custody in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Sinners (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffs”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which banks will fail by June 30?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Which banks will fail by June 30?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 2% chance to BNP Paribas. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Sam Bankman Fried predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.