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Robotaxi predictions & odds

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Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

13%

$105K Vol.

$5.2K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?

Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?

13%

$31.4K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

91%

SpaceX

$7.7K Vol.

$61 Liq.

5

Ends in over 1 year

Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

2%

June 30

$83.9K Vol.

$16.2K Liq.

12

Ends in 8 months

Rocket League: Gentle Mates Alpine vs Team Falcons (BO7) - RLCS Major Boston Playoffs

Rocket League: Gentle Mates Alpine vs Team Falcons (BO7) - RLCS Major Boston Playoffs

Gentle Mates Alpine

$7.3K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

97%

SpaceX

$73.2K Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

1

Ends in over 1 year

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

72%

$800B

$1M Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

2

Ends in over 1 year

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

96%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$74.3K today

$33.8K Liq.

49

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

49%

No IPO by December 31, 2027

$16.3K Vol.

$30.7K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

How many cities will Waymo operate in by June 30?

How many cities will Waymo operate in by June 30?

38%

11

$162K Vol.

$11.4K Liq.

19

Ends in about 2 months

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by...?

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by...?

23%

June 30

$132K Vol.

$16.9K Liq.

6

Ends in about 2 months

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

14%

$68.6K Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

11

Ends in 8 months

Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?

Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?

27%

$35.8K Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

9

Ends in 8 months

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

72%

No IPO by December 31, 2026

$2M Vol.

$20.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Rocket League: Twisted Minds vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - RLCS World Championship Group C

Rocket League: Twisted Minds vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - RLCS World Championship Group C

55%

Twisted Minds

$0 Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

AI bubble burst by...?

AI bubble burst by...?

23%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$12.7K Liq.

82

Ends in 8 months

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

63%

Anthropic

$1M Vol.

$95.4K Liq.

19

Ends in about 2 months

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

62%

2.0T+

$946K Vol.

$62.1K Liq.

8

Ends in over 1 year

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

68%

Anthropic

$397K Vol.

$63.7K Liq.

51

Ends in about 2 months

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

95%

>$1T

$2M Vol.

$66.9K Liq.

19

Ends in over 1 year

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Robotaxi.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for Robotaxi that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $12.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “AI bubble burst by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “AI bubble burst by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 23% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Robotaxi predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.