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Resignation predictions & odds

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Anthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by...?

Anthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by...?

13%

May 31

$13.4K Vol.

$3.5K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Will Trump resign before 2027?

Will Trump resign before 2027?

6%

$17.4K Vol.

$11.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

7%

$432K Vol.

$150K Liq.

28

Ends in 8 months

Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

44%

December 31

$120M Vol.

$249K Liq.

34

Ends in 8 months

Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30?

Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30?

7%

$3.5K Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

47%

$12.6K Vol.

$8.3K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

11%

$349K Vol.

$47.2K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

17%

$20.0K Vol.

$11.0K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

8%

Dong Jun

$157K Vol.

$106K Liq.

15

Ends in 8 months

Makerfield by-election Winner

Makerfield by-election Winner

64%

Andy Burnham

$28.0K Vol.

$59.0K Liq.

6

Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

10%

$9M Vol.

$529K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Trump out as President by May 31?

Trump out as President by May 31?

<1%

$2M Vol.

$77.5K today

$609K Liq.

1

Ends in 14 days

Trump out as President by June 30?

Trump out as President by June 30?

1%

$5M Vol.

$433K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

68%

Kash Patel

$1M Vol.

$158K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by...?

88%

December 31

$27M Vol.

$1M today

$319K Liq.

1,650

Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?

Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?

14%

$21.1K Vol.

$45.2K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

9%

$34.3K Vol.

$14.7K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

24%

December 31, 2026

$102K Vol.

$12.5K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

10%

December 31, 2026

$204K Vol.

$38.4K Liq.

70

Ends in 8 months

Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader in 2026?

Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader in 2026?

81%

$5.6K Vol.

$20.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Resignation.

Polymarket currently hosts 110 active markets for Resignation that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Anthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $165.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Trump out as President by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Netanyahu out by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Netanyahu out by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 44% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Resignation predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.