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Resignation predictions & odds

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Will Trump resign before 2027?

Will Trump resign before 2027?

4%

$20.3K Vol.

$15.1K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

7%

$482K Vol.

$52.7K Liq.

28

Ends in 7 months

Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

56%

December 31

$122M Vol.

$126K Liq.

34

Ends in 7 months

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

62%

$13.9K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

8%

$508K Vol.

$32.1K Liq.

5

Ends in 7 months

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

11%

Dong Jun

$170K Vol.

$98.3K Liq.

17

Ends in 7 months

Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

10%

$9M Vol.

$450K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Trump out as President by June 30?

Trump out as President by June 30?

1%

$7M Vol.

$144K today

$290K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?

Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?

56%

$12.0K Vol.

$9.7K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

58%

Kash Patel

$1M Vol.

$65.9K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Kash Patel out by...?

Kash Patel out by...?

55%

December 31

$1M Vol.

$53.4K Liq.

132

Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by...?

83%

December 31

$32M Vol.

$204K today

$299K Liq.

1,756

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

9%

$110K Vol.

$17.5K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

6%

December 31, 2026

$215K Vol.

$31.4K Liq.

69

Ends in 7 months

Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?

Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?

16%

$18.3K Vol.

$16.8K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader by...?

Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader by...?

86%

December 31

$19.5K Vol.

$14.3K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

13%

December 31, 2026

$103K Vol.

$12.9K Liq.

3

Ends in 7 months

Makerfield by-election: Margin of Victory

Makerfield by-election: Margin of Victory

63%

Burnham 9%+

$25.8K Vol.

$56.2K Liq.

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

23%

$116K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

9

Ends in 7 months

JD Vance out as VP by...?

JD Vance out as VP by...?

9%

December 31

$141K Vol.

$86.9K Liq.

3

Ends in 7 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Resignation.

Polymarket currently hosts 109 active markets for Resignation that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Trump resign before 2027?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $174.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Trump out as President by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Netanyahu out by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Netanyahu out by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 56% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Resignation predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.