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Negotiations predictions & odds

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Trump-Xi Summit: What will China announce by May 22?

Trump-Xi Summit: What will China announce by May 22?

18%

U.S. Soybean Purchase

$315K Vol.

$156K today

$68.5K Liq.

67

Ends in 4 days

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

2%

May 31

$177K Vol.

$22.3K Liq.

23

Ends in 13 days

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

49%

December 31

$615K Vol.

$94.1K today

$416K Liq.

44

Ends in 8 months

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

51%

Jared Kushner

$1M Vol.

$83.0K Liq.

69

Ends in about 1 month

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

65%

December 31

$118M Vol.

$788K today

$2M Liq.

2,319

Ends in 8 months

LoL: WLGaming Esports vs Team Paradox (BO2) - HLL Regular Season

LoL: WLGaming Esports vs Team Paradox (BO2) - HLL Regular Season

100%

WLGaming Esports

$675 Vol.

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

12%

Unfreeze Iranian Assets

$2M Vol.

$153K today

$222K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

48%

June 30

$18M Vol.

$142K today

$225K Liq.

476

Ends in about 1 month

Counter-Strike: Imperial Academy vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group B

Counter-Strike: Imperial Academy vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group B

100%

INFURITY Gaming

$10.1K Vol.

Counter-Strike: paiN vs M80 (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A

Counter-Strike: paiN vs M80 (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A

57%

paiN

$299 Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Counter-Strike: Prestige vs Imperial Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group C

Counter-Strike: Prestige vs Imperial Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group C

100%

Imperial Academy

$85.8K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Counter-Strike: FTUR vs Vitality Academy (BO3) - United21 Group B

Counter-Strike: FTUR vs Vitality Academy (BO3) - United21 Group B

100%

Vitality Academy

$34.0K Vol.

$1 Liq.

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

13%

June 30

$934K Vol.

$171K Liq.

15

Ends in 13 days

Counter-Strike: Nerve of Cow vs Imperial Academy (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

Counter-Strike: Nerve of Cow vs Imperial Academy (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

100%

Imperial Academy

$203 Vol.

Trump-Xi Summit: What will Trump announce by May 22?

Trump-Xi Summit: What will Trump announce by May 22?

57%

US-China Board of Trade

$136K Vol.

$83.1K Liq.

24

Ends in 4 days

Counter-Strike: Imperial Academy vs BIG Academy (BO3) - United21 Group B

Counter-Strike: Imperial Academy vs BIG Academy (BO3) - United21 Group B

100%

BIG Academy

$14.1K Vol.

LoL: PCIFIC  vs Dark Passage (BO3) - TCL Regular Season

LoL: PCIFIC vs Dark Passage (BO3) - TCL Regular Season

100%

PCIFIC

$47.3K Vol.

US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by June 30?

US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by June 30?

16%

$531 Vol.

$11.5K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Counter-Strike: Alzon vs paiN Academy (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group B

Counter-Strike: Alzon vs paiN Academy (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group B

100%

paiN Academy

$357 Vol.

$5 Liq.

Counter-Strike: Oldboys vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Group A

Counter-Strike: Oldboys vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Group A

100%

Passion Academy

$32.1K Vol.

$1 Liq.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Negotiations.

Polymarket currently hosts 121 active markets for Negotiations that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Trump-Xi Summit: What will China announce by May 22?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $141.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “LoL: PCIFIC vs Dark Passage (BO3) - TCL Regular Season”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 65% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Negotiations predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.