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Legislation predictions & odds

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Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

49%

Likud

$1.5K Vol.

$16.6K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

New Zealand legislative election winner?

New Zealand legislative election winner?

60%

Labour Party

$1.2K Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

# of seats won by PT in 2026 Thailand Legislative Election?

# of seats won by PT in 2026 Thailand Legislative Election?

<1%

110+

$363K Vol.

$107K Liq.

How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?

How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?

24%

355+

$24.0K Vol.

$55.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

New Zealand Election: 2nd Place

New Zealand Election: 2nd Place

65%

National Party

$46 Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

44%

30-34

$1.2K Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

45%

Labour 5-10%

$0 Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

New Zealand Election: 3rd Place

New Zealand Election: 3rd Place

24%

Labour Party

$981 Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

NZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?

NZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?

43%

50-54

$240 Vol.

$961 Liq.

Ends in 6 months

NZ Election: National Party # of seats?

NZ Election: National Party # of seats?

43%

40-44

$5 Vol.

$957 Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Which bills will become law in 2026?

Which bills will become law in 2026?

68%

Housing for the 21st Century Act

$92.4K Vol.

$45.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

SAVE Act becomes law by...?

SAVE Act becomes law by...?

23%

December 31

$397K Vol.

$38.7K Liq.

5

Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?

Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?

15%

$604 Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

H.R. 7296 (SAVE America Act) becomes law by...?

H.R. 7296 (SAVE America Act) becomes law by...?

4%

June 30

$64.2K Vol.

$12.9K Liq.

2

Ends in about 2 months

H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

10%

$165K Vol.

$22.7K Liq.

19

Ends in 8 months

US congress stock trading ban before 2027?

US congress stock trading ban before 2027?

19%

$17.1K Vol.

$11.5K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Rotisserie Chicken Act becomes law by June 30?

Rotisserie Chicken Act becomes law by June 30?

25%

$93 Vol.

$905 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?

FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?

97%

$39.4K Vol.

$17.5K Liq.

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?

18%

$39.0K Vol.

$17.8K Liq.

1

Ends in 22 days

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

69%

$645K Vol.

$16.8K Liq.

58

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Legislation.

Polymarket currently hosts 125 active markets for Legislation that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Israeli Legislative Election Winner”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “SAVE Act becomes law by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 69% chance to Yes. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Legislation predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.