Legislation predictions & odds

Politics·Bill

Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?

$6.8K Vol.

$151 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

38%

$6.8K Vol.

$151 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·Trump

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

$14M Vol.

$71.4K today

$474K Liq.

290

Ends in 4 months

17%

$14M Vol.

$71.4K today

$474K Liq.

290

Ends in 4 months

Elections·Denmark

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

$35M Vol.

$218K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$35M Vol.

$218K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·Bill

SAVE Act becomes law by...?

$551K Vol.

$17.5K Liq.

December 31

$551K Vol.

$17.5K Liq.

Politics·Congress

Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

$63.4K Vol.

$18.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

39%

Kirsten Gillibrand

$63.4K Vol.

$18.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·Trump

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

$11M Vol.

$71.0K Liq.

271

Ends in 4 months

$11M Vol.

$71.0K Liq.

271

Ends in 4 months

Politics·Congress

Which bills will become law in 2026?

$161K Vol.

$53.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

36%

Export-control chip security

$161K Vol.

$53.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·Acquire

Will Alberta join the US?

$2M Vol.

$45.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$2M Vol.

$45.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·Congress

Government shutdown by October 1?

$15.3K Vol.

$31.8K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

$15.3K Vol.

$31.8K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Politics·Congress

Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?

$19.8K Vol.

$8.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$19.8K Vol.

$8.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

US military draft authorized in 2026?

$525K Vol.

$28.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$525K Vol.

$28.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·Congress

H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

$191K Vol.

$19.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$191K Vol.

$19.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?

$8.0K Vol.

$25.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

73%

$8.0K Vol.

$25.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·Congress

How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

$14.8K Vol.

$26.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

37%

Above 60

$14.8K Vol.

$26.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·Gavin Newsom

Will California enact a law recognizing Jews as an ethnic group by December 31?

$3.3K Vol.

$9.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

94%

$3.3K Vol.

$9.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Foreign Policy

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

$167K Vol.

$27.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$167K Vol.

$27.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

$102K Vol.

$9.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

10%

$102K Vol.

$9.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

$30.8K Vol.

$6.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$30.8K Vol.

$6.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

$19.4K Vol.

$6.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$19.4K Vol.

$6.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·UK

UK social media ban in effect by…?

$2.6K Vol.

$9.6K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

45%

June 30, 2027

$2.6K Vol.

$9.6K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Sort by

Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Legislation.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for Legislation that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $64.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “SAVE Act becomes law by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 97% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Legislation predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Legislation shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “SAVE Act becomes law by...?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Legislation prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Legislation prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Legislation predictions & odds

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Legislation prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Legislation markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Legislation prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Legislation predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Legislation odds?

Can I track Legislation predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Legislation markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Legislation prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Legislation markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Legislation prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Legislation predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Legislation odds?

Can I track Legislation predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Legislation markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Legislation predictions & odds