Skip to main content

Legislation predictions & odds

·
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?

100%

$327K Vol.

$180K today

$110K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

6%

$34M Vol.

$169K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

US military draft authorized in 2026?

US military draft authorized in 2026?

9%

$402K Vol.

$52.6K Liq.

10

Ends in 6 months

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

42%

$1M Vol.

$66.9K Liq.

126

Ends in 6 months

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

9%

$10M Vol.

$107K Liq.

271

Ends in 6 months

Which bills will become law in 2026?

Which bills will become law in 2026?

99%

Housing for the 21st Century Act

$126K Vol.

$41.3K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by...?

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by...?

20%

June 30

$310K Vol.

$15.9K Liq.

48

Ends in 6 days

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

10%

$98.9K Vol.

$33.3K Liq.

1

Ends in 6 months

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?

2%

$17.2K Vol.

$22.5K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

10%

$170K Vol.

$31.9K Liq.

20

Ends in 6 months

Trump renames ICE to NICE by...?

Trump renames ICE to NICE by...?

5%

June 30

$221K Vol.

$27.4K Liq.

4

Ends in 6 days

Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?

Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?

9%

$11.6K Vol.

$15.7K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Will Alberta join the US?

Will Alberta join the US?

3%

$2M Vol.

$49.7K Liq.

11

Ends in 6 months

Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

38%

$259K Vol.

$10.3K Liq.

33

Ends in 6 months

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

<1%

$82.6K Vol.

$25.7K Liq.

5

Ends in 6 days

SAVE Act becomes law by...?

SAVE Act becomes law by...?

17%

December 31

$441K Vol.

$28.2K Liq.

5

Will Trump designate Brazil's PCC or CV as a terrorists by December 31?

Will Trump designate Brazil's PCC or CV as a terrorists by December 31?

98%

$3.2K Vol.

$12.8K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?

Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?

18%

$1.7K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

81%

$41.1K Vol.

$5.1K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Rotisserie Chicken Act becomes law by June 30?

Rotisserie Chicken Act becomes law by June 30?

3%

$787 Vol.

$7.6K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Legislation.

Polymarket currently hosts 34 active markets for Legislation that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $50.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “SAVE Act becomes law by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 94% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Legislation predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.