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Oscars 2026: Best Supporting Actress Nominations

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Oscars 2026: Best Supporting Actress Nominations

$692,411 Vol.

Jan 22, 2026
Polymarket

$692,411 Vol.

Polymarket

Elle Fanning

$93,337 Vol.

Yes

Ariana Grande

$116,994 Vol.

No

Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas

$48,416 Vol.

Yes

Chase Infiniti

$115,762 Vol.

No

Wunmi Mosaku

$67,642 Vol.

Yes

Laura Dern

$27,235 Vol.

No

Mari Yamamoto

$6,566 Vol.

No

Glenn Close

$6,913 Vol.

No

Samantha Morton

$4,517 Vol.

No

Thomasin McKenzie

$4,774 Vol.

No

Ayo Edebiri

$3,143 Vol.

No

Teyana Taylor

$41,285 Vol.

Yes

Gwyneth Paltrow

$23,620 Vol.

No

Amy Madigan

$50,827 Vol.

Yes

Emily Blunt

$9,954 Vol.

No

Angelina LookingGlass

$5,716 Vol.

No

Regina Hall

$19,223 Vol.

No

Kate Hudson

$14,862 Vol.

No

Greta Lee

$2,953 Vol.

No

Hailee Steinfeld

$3,706 Vol.

No

Tilda Swinton

$24,964 Vol.

No

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actress is nominated for the 98th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$692,411
End Date
Jan 22, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 29, 2025, 2:28 PM ET
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actress is nominated for the 98th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Oscars 2026: Best Supporting Actress Nominations" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 21 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Elle Fanning" at 100%, followed by "Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Oscars 2026: Best Supporting Actress Nominations" has generated $692.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Oscars 2026: Best Supporting Actress Nominations," browse the 21 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Oscars 2026: Best Supporting Actress Nominations" is "Elle Fanning" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Oscars 2026: Best Supporting Actress Nominations" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.