Market icon

#2 Spotify artist in March?

Market icon

#2 Spotify artist in March?

The Weeknd 98.8%

Bad Bunny <1%

Bruno Mars <1%

Kanye West <1%

Polymarket

$133,886 Vol.

The Weeknd 98.8%

Bad Bunny <1%

Bruno Mars <1%

Kanye West <1%

Polymarket

$133,886 Vol.

The Weeknd

$32,598 Vol.

99%

Bad Bunny

$53,391 Vol.

1%

Bruno Mars

$12,967 Vol.

<1%

Kanye West

$23,066 Vol.

<1%

Rihanna

$7,645 Vol.

<1%

Noah Kahan

$0 Vol.

<1%

Taylor Swift

$0 Vol.

<1%

Billie Eilish

$0 Vol.

<1%

Ed Sheeran

$0 Vol.

<1%

Kendrick Lamar

$0 Vol.

<1%

Drake

$4,941 Vol.

<1%

Lady Gaga

$0 Vol.

<1%

Coldplay

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the listed artist with the second greatest number of monthly listeners according to Spotify on March 31, 2026, 12PM ET. The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the featured artist's total. In the event of an exact tie for the number of monthly listeners, this market will resolve in favor of the listed artist whose name comes first in alphabetical order. If Spotify is down at the listed time on the listed date, this market will resolve based on the most recent available data. The resolution source for this market will be Spotify.The Weeknd commands a commanding 98.6% implied probability as the #2 Spotify global artist for March, anchored by his steady 115 million monthly listeners—firmly behind Bruno Mars' 135 million lead but ahead of Bad Bunny's 110 million and Taylor Swift's 102 million as of March 29. Trader consensus reflects his unmatched catalog endurance, bolstered by viral remixes like "One of the Girls" featuring Jennie and Lily-Rose Depp, which continue driving streams amid no major March releases from rivals. Recent data shows him surpassing Bad Bunny for the runner-up spot last week, with daily top artist rankings reinforcing his momentum. With just two days left before month-end lock, upsets would require an unprecedented streaming surge from challengers via surprise drops or social virality, though historical trajectories make this improbable.

The Weeknd commands a commanding 98.6% implied probability as the #2 Spotify global artist for March, anchored by his steady 115 million monthly listeners—firmly behind Bruno Mars' 135 million lead but ahead of Bad Bunny's 110 million and Taylor Swift's 102 million as of March 29. Trader consensus reflects his unmatched catalog endurance, bolstered by viral remixes like "One of the Girls" featuring Jennie and Lily-Rose Depp, which continue driving streams amid no major March releases from rivals. Recent data shows him surpassing Bad Bunny for the runner-up spot last week, with daily top artist rankings reinforcing his momentum. With just two days left before month-end lock, upsets would require an unprecedented streaming surge from challengers via surprise drops or social virality, though historical trajectories make this improbable.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve according to the listed artist with the second greatest number of monthly listeners according to Spotify on March 31, 2026, 12PM ET. The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the featured artist's total. In the event of an exact tie for the number of monthly listeners, this market will resolve in favor of the listed artist whose name comes first in alphabetical order. If Spotify is down at the listed time on the listed date, this market will resolve based on the most recent available data. The resolution source for this market will be Spotify.The Weeknd commands a commanding 98.6% implied probability as the #2 Spotify global artist for March, anchored by his steady 115 million monthly listeners—firmly behind Bruno Mars' 135 million lead but ahead of Bad Bunny's 110 million and Taylor Swift's 102 million as of March 29. Trader consensus reflects his unmatched catalog endurance, bolstered by viral remixes like "One of the Girls" featuring Jennie and Lily-Rose Depp, which continue driving streams amid no major March releases from rivals. Recent data shows him surpassing Bad Bunny for the runner-up spot last week, with daily top artist rankings reinforcing his momentum. With just two days left before month-end lock, upsets would require an unprecedented streaming surge from challengers via surprise drops or social virality, though historical trajectories make this improbable.

The Weeknd commands a commanding 98.6% implied probability as the #2 Spotify global artist for March, anchored by his steady 115 million monthly listeners—firmly behind Bruno Mars' 135 million lead but ahead of Bad Bunny's 110 million and Taylor Swift's 102 million as of March 29. Trader consensus reflects his unmatched catalog endurance, bolstered by viral remixes like "One of the Girls" featuring Jennie and Lily-Rose Depp, which continue driving streams amid no major March releases from rivals. Recent data shows him surpassing Bad Bunny for the runner-up spot last week, with daily top artist rankings reinforcing his momentum. With just two days left before month-end lock, upsets would require an unprecedented streaming surge from challengers via surprise drops or social virality, though historical trajectories make this improbable.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"#2 Spotify artist in March?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "The Weeknd" at 99%, followed by "Bad Bunny" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "#2 Spotify artist in March?" has generated $133.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "#2 Spotify artist in March?," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "#2 Spotify artist in March?" is "The Weeknd" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bad Bunny" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "#2 Spotify artist in March?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.