Market icon
Economy·Housing·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?

Market icon
Economy·Housing·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?

575 - 580k 43.5%

580 - 585k 28.6%

585 - 590k 13%

590 - 595k 6.0%

Polymarket

$13,117 Vol.

575 - 580k 43.5%

580 - 585k 28.6%

585 - 590k 13%

590 - 595k 6.0%

Polymarket

$13,117 Vol.

<570k

$1,310 Vol.

2%

570 - 575k

$886 Vol.

1%

575 - 580k

$1,402 Vol.

30%

580 - 585k

$1,582 Vol.

38%

585 - 590k

$3,009 Vol.

13%

590 - 595k

$2,320 Vol.

8%

595 - 600k

$1,428 Vol.

3%

>600k

$1,180 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on April 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/18)Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a New York City median home value of roughly $580,000 on April 1 per Parcl Labs' daily sales price index, with market-implied odds split closely between 580-585k (37.9%) and 575-580k (30.2%), highlighting competitive dynamics amid stabilizing mortgage rates near 6.1%. Recent February data showed median sales prices dipping 4.9% month-over-month to around $715,000 statewide and softer Manhattan price-per-square-foot at $1,388, down 1%, reflecting seasonal buyer caution despite low inventory and 4.7% year-over-year metro price gains to $748,500. Key differentiators include potential spring demand rebound versus persistent high rates curbing affordability; watch Parcl's daily updates through resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a New York City median home value of roughly $580,000 on April 1 per Parcl Labs' daily sales price index, with market-implied odds split closely between 580-585k (37.9%) and 575-580k (30.2%), highlighting competitive dynamics amid stabilizing mortgage rates near 6.1%. Recent February data showed median sales prices dipping 4.9% month-over-month to around $715,000 statewide and softer Manhattan price-per-square-foot at $1,388, down 1%, reflecting seasonal buyer caution despite low inventory and 4.7% year-over-year metro price gains to $748,500. Key differentiators include potential spring demand rebound versus persistent high rates curbing affordability; watch Parcl's daily updates through resolution.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on April 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/18)Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a New York City median home value of roughly $580,000 on April 1 per Parcl Labs' daily sales price index, with market-implied odds split closely between 580-585k (37.9%) and 575-580k (30.2%), highlighting competitive dynamics amid stabilizing mortgage rates near 6.1%. Recent February data showed median sales prices dipping 4.9% month-over-month to around $715,000 statewide and softer Manhattan price-per-square-foot at $1,388, down 1%, reflecting seasonal buyer caution despite low inventory and 4.7% year-over-year metro price gains to $748,500. Key differentiators include potential spring demand rebound versus persistent high rates curbing affordability; watch Parcl's daily updates through resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a New York City median home value of roughly $580,000 on April 1 per Parcl Labs' daily sales price index, with market-implied odds split closely between 580-585k (37.9%) and 575-580k (30.2%), highlighting competitive dynamics amid stabilizing mortgage rates near 6.1%. Recent February data showed median sales prices dipping 4.9% month-over-month to around $715,000 statewide and softer Manhattan price-per-square-foot at $1,388, down 1%, reflecting seasonal buyer caution despite low inventory and 4.7% year-over-year metro price gains to $748,500. Key differentiators include potential spring demand rebound versus persistent high rates curbing affordability; watch Parcl's daily updates through resolution.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "580 - 585k" at 38%, followed by "575 - 580k" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 38¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?" has generated $13.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?" is "580 - 585k" at 38%, meaning the market assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "575 - 580k" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.