Recent stabilization of gold futures near $4,540 per ounce has shaped trader sentiment for the June 2026 settlement, with the two leading ranges—$4,200-$4,600 and $4,600-$5,000—commanding closely matched implied probabilities of 32.8% and 28.5%. This competitive positioning stems from moderating 2025 rally momentum offset by persistent central bank buying, geopolitical risks, and portfolio diversification flows, while profit-taking and potential U.S. dollar strength cap near-term upside. Market participants appear to price in a consolidation phase rather than a decisive breakout, consistent with analyst base cases targeting $4,000-$4,500 amid ongoing monetary policy uncertainty and forthcoming economic data releases that could influence June resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhat will Gold (GC) settle at in June?
$4,200-$4,600 32.8%
$4,600-$5,000 29%
$3,800-$4,200 14.8%
$5,000-$5,400 11.7%
$952,220 Vol.
$952,220 Vol.
<$3,800
2%
$3,800-$4,200
15%
$4,200-$4,600
33%
$4,600-$5,000
29%
$5,000-$5,400
12%
$5,400-$5,800
8%
$5,800-$6,200
2%
>$6,200
2%
$4,200-$4,600 32.8%
$4,600-$5,000 29%
$3,800-$4,200 14.8%
$5,000-$5,400 11.7%
$952,220 Vol.
$952,220 Vol.
<$3,800
2%
$3,800-$4,200
15%
$4,200-$4,600
33%
$4,600-$5,000
29%
$5,000-$5,400
12%
$5,400-$5,800
8%
$5,800-$6,200
2%
>$6,200
2%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Market Opened: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent stabilization of gold futures near $4,540 per ounce has shaped trader sentiment for the June 2026 settlement, with the two leading ranges—$4,200-$4,600 and $4,600-$5,000—commanding closely matched implied probabilities of 32.8% and 28.5%. This competitive positioning stems from moderating 2025 rally momentum offset by persistent central bank buying, geopolitical risks, and portfolio diversification flows, while profit-taking and potential U.S. dollar strength cap near-term upside. Market participants appear to price in a consolidation phase rather than a decisive breakout, consistent with analyst base cases targeting $4,000-$4,500 amid ongoing monetary policy uncertainty and forthcoming economic data releases that could influence June resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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