Trader consensus on Polymarket centers tightly around 240-299 tweets for Elon Musk during March 24-31, 2026, with 240-259 (17%) edging out 260-279 (16.5%) and 280-299 (15%), reflecting his sustained high-volume posting cadence of 25-40 daily tweets amid political discourse, Tesla updates, SpaceX milestones, and meme culture. Recent weeks show consistent output near 250-280 per eight-day spans, buoyed by X platform ownership incentives and real-time engagement spikes from viral moments like AI debates or regulatory news. Competitive dynamics hinge on unpredictable catalysts—major announcements, controversies, or quiet periods—that could swing volume 20-50 tweets; traders eye historical patterns where event-driven surges define outliers in this skin-in-the-game forecast.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated240-259 17%
260-279 17%
280-299 15%
220-239 10.9%
$3,185,257 Vol.
$3,185,257 Vol.
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
2%
200-219
6%
220-239
11%
240-259
17%
260-279
17%
280-299
15%
300-319
11%
320-339
9%
340-359
6%
360-379
3%
380-399
2%
400-419
2%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
240-259 17%
260-279 17%
280-299 15%
220-239 10.9%
$3,185,257 Vol.
$3,185,257 Vol.
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
2%
200-219
6%
220-239
11%
240-259
17%
260-279
17%
280-299
15%
300-319
11%
320-339
9%
340-359
6%
360-379
3%
380-399
2%
400-419
2%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 21, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket centers tightly around 240-299 tweets for Elon Musk during March 24-31, 2026, with 240-259 (17%) edging out 260-279 (16.5%) and 280-299 (15%), reflecting his sustained high-volume posting cadence of 25-40 daily tweets amid political discourse, Tesla updates, SpaceX milestones, and meme culture. Recent weeks show consistent output near 250-280 per eight-day spans, buoyed by X platform ownership incentives and real-time engagement spikes from viral moments like AI debates or regulatory news. Competitive dynamics hinge on unpredictable catalysts—major announcements, controversies, or quiet periods—that could swing volume 20-50 tweets; traders eye historical patterns where event-driven surges define outliers in this skin-in-the-game forecast.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions