Market icon

Elon Musk # tweets March 24 - March 31, 2026?

Market icon

Elon Musk # tweets March 24 - March 31, 2026?

240-259 17%

260-279 17%

280-299 15%

220-239 10.9%

Polymarket

$3,185,257 Vol.

240-259 17%

260-279 17%

280-299 15%

220-239 10.9%

Polymarket

$3,185,257 Vol.

80-99

$79,772 Vol.

<1%

100-119

$110,594 Vol.

<1%

120-139

$218,601 Vol.

<1%

140-159

$193,195 Vol.

<1%

160-179

$156,091 Vol.

<1%

180-199

$179,291 Vol.

2%

200-219

$174,971 Vol.

6%

220-239

$105,455 Vol.

11%

240-259

$65,882 Vol.

17%

260-279

$68,523 Vol.

17%

280-299

$64,266 Vol.

15%

300-319

$69,405 Vol.

11%

320-339

$80,863 Vol.

9%

340-359

$61,240 Vol.

6%

360-379

$81,501 Vol.

3%

380-399

$78,667 Vol.

2%

400-419

$158,267 Vol.

2%

420-439

$156,575 Vol.

1%

440-459

$117,528 Vol.

1%

460-479

$94,384 Vol.

<1%

480-499

$76,873 Vol.

<1%

500-519

$107,859 Vol.

<1%

520-539

$106,235 Vol.

<1%

540-559

$97,252 Vol.

<1%

560-579

$170,522 Vol.

<1%

580+

$214,397 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 24 12:00 PM ET to March 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket centers tightly around 240-299 tweets for Elon Musk during March 24-31, 2026, with 240-259 (17%) edging out 260-279 (16.5%) and 280-299 (15%), reflecting his sustained high-volume posting cadence of 25-40 daily tweets amid political discourse, Tesla updates, SpaceX milestones, and meme culture. Recent weeks show consistent output near 250-280 per eight-day spans, buoyed by X platform ownership incentives and real-time engagement spikes from viral moments like AI debates or regulatory news. Competitive dynamics hinge on unpredictable catalysts—major announcements, controversies, or quiet periods—that could swing volume 20-50 tweets; traders eye historical patterns where event-driven surges define outliers in this skin-in-the-game forecast.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 24 12:00 PM ET to March 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$3,185,257
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 21, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 24 12:00 PM ET to March 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket centers tightly around 240-299 tweets for Elon Musk during March 24-31, 2026, with 240-259 (17%) edging out 260-279 (16.5%) and 280-299 (15%), reflecting his sustained high-volume posting cadence of 25-40 daily tweets amid political discourse, Tesla updates, SpaceX milestones, and meme culture. Recent weeks show consistent output near 250-280 per eight-day spans, buoyed by X platform ownership incentives and real-time engagement spikes from viral moments like AI debates or regulatory news. Competitive dynamics hinge on unpredictable catalysts—major announcements, controversies, or quiet periods—that could swing volume 20-50 tweets; traders eye historical patterns where event-driven surges define outliers in this skin-in-the-game forecast.

Trader consensus on Polymarket centers tightly around 240-299 tweets for Elon Musk during March 24-31, 2026, with 240-259 (17%) edging out 260-279 (16.5%) and 280-299 (15%), reflecting his sustained high-volume posting cadence of 25-40 daily tweets amid political discourse, Tesla updates, SpaceX milestones, and meme culture. Recent weeks show consistent output near 250-280 per eight-day spans, buoyed by X platform ownership incentives and real-time engagement spikes from viral moments like AI debates or regulatory news. Competitive dynamics hinge on unpredictable catalysts—major announcements, controversies, or quiet periods—that could swing volume 20-50 tweets; traders eye historical patterns where event-driven surges define outliers in this skin-in-the-game forecast.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk # tweets March 24 - March 31, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "240-259" at 17%, followed by "260-279" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 17¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk # tweets March 24 - March 31, 2026?" has generated $3.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 21, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk # tweets March 24 - March 31, 2026?," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk # tweets March 24 - March 31, 2026?" is "240-259" at 17%, meaning the market assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "260-279" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk # tweets March 24 - March 31, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.