Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 260-279 times during March 20-27, 2026 (57.6% implied probability), reflecting his consistent recent X activity averaging 32-35 posts per day over the past month amid Tesla updates, SpaceX launches, and political commentary. The nearby 280-299 range (32.5%) captures potential upside from viral moments or event-driven spikes, as seen in last week's 285 posts during heightened AI and government discussions. Lower ranges trail due to no signs of reduced engagement since his 2022 X acquisition, while extreme highs remain negligible absent major controversies. With no confirmed catalysts for the future week, markets hinge on historical patterns in this high-uncertainty celebrity social media metric, where posting habits evolve with news cycles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated260-279 58.0%
280-299 33%
300-319 7%
240-259 2.1%
$9,233,498 Vol.
$9,233,498 Vol.
Mar 27, 2026
240-259
2%
260-279
58%
280-299
33%
300-319
7%
320-339
1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
260-279 58.0%
280-299 33%
300-319 7%
240-259 2.1%
$9,233,498 Vol.
$9,233,498 Vol.
Mar 27, 2026
240-259
$850,710 Vol.
2%
260-279
$501,625 Vol.
58%
280-299
$514,422 Vol.
33%
300-319
$442,603 Vol.
7%
320-339
$457,378 Vol.
1%
340-359
$548,349 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$556,813 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$475,013 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$395,095 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$400,573 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$287,343 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$342,108 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$374,540 Vol.
<1%
500-519
$190,683 Vol.
<1%
520-539
$190,271 Vol.
<1%
540-559
$184,823 Vol.
<1%
560-579
$140,532 Vol.
<1%
580+
$249,199 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 20 12:00 PM ET to March 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 260-279 times during March 20-27, 2026 (57.6% implied probability), reflecting his consistent recent X activity averaging 32-35 posts per day over the past month amid Tesla updates, SpaceX launches, and political commentary. The nearby 280-299 range (32.5%) captures potential upside from viral moments or event-driven spikes, as seen in last week's 285 posts during heightened AI and government discussions. Lower ranges trail due to no signs of reduced engagement since his 2022 X acquisition, while extreme highs remain negligible absent major controversies. With no confirmed catalysts for the future week, markets hinge on historical patterns in this high-uncertainty celebrity social media metric, where posting habits evolve with news cycles.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 20 12:00 PM ET to March 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 17, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$9,233,498End Date
Mar 27, 2026Market Opened
Mar 17, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 20 12:00 PM ET to March 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 260-279 times during March 20-27, 2026 (57.6% implied probability), reflecting his consistent recent X activity averaging 32-35 posts per day over the past month amid Tesla updates, SpaceX launches, and political commentary. The nearby 280-299 range (32.5%) captures potential upside from viral moments or event-driven spikes, as seen in last week's 285 posts during heightened AI and government discussions. Lower ranges trail due to no signs of reduced engagement since his 2022 X acquisition, while extreme highs remain negligible absent major controversies. With no confirmed catalysts for the future week, markets hinge on historical patterns in this high-uncertainty celebrity social media metric, where posting habits evolve with news cycles.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 20 12:00 PM ET to March 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$9,233,498End Date
Mar 27, 2026Market Opened
Mar 17, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 260-279 times during March 20-27, 2026 (57.6% implied probability), reflecting his consistent recent X activity averaging 32-35 posts per day over the past month amid Tesla updates, SpaceX launches, and political commentary. The nearby 280-299 range (32.5%) captures potential upside from viral moments or event-driven spikes, as seen in last week's 285 posts during heightened AI and government discussions. Lower ranges trail due to no signs of reduced engagement since his 2022 X acquisition, while extreme highs remain negligible absent major controversies. With no confirmed catalysts for the future week, markets hinge on historical patterns in this high-uncertainty celebrity social media metric, where posting habits evolve with news cycles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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