Trader consensus prices "No" at 89.5% for US annexation of any territory in 2026, driven by the absence of legislative momentum on H.R.7012, the Greenland Annexation and Statehood Act introduced in January by Rep. Fine. Early-year rhetoric from President Trump and advisor Stephen Miller citing strategic Arctic interests briefly elevated speculation, but the bill remains stalled without committee referral, votes, or significant cosponsors. Denmark and NATO allies have issued firm rejections, emphasizing Greenland's semi-autonomous status under Danish sovereignty. No recent diplomatic breakthroughs, congressional actions, or other territorial disputes—like those involving Canada, Mexico, or Panama Canal—suggest viable paths forward, as annexation requires unlikely congressional supermajority and international consent amid legal barriers.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
$19,628 Vol.
$19,628 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$19,628 Vol.
$19,628 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 89.5% for US annexation of any territory in 2026, driven by the absence of legislative momentum on H.R.7012, the Greenland Annexation and Statehood Act introduced in January by Rep. Fine. Early-year rhetoric from President Trump and advisor Stephen Miller citing strategic Arctic interests briefly elevated speculation, but the bill remains stalled without committee referral, votes, or significant cosponsors. Denmark and NATO allies have issued firm rejections, emphasizing Greenland's semi-autonomous status under Danish sovereignty. No recent diplomatic breakthroughs, congressional actions, or other territorial disputes—like those involving Canada, Mexico, or Panama Canal—suggest viable paths forward, as annexation requires unlikely congressional supermajority and international consent amid legal barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
音量
$19,628終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 89.5% for US annexation of any territory in 2026, driven by the absence of legislative momentum on H.R.7012, the Greenland Annexation and Statehood Act introduced in January by Rep. Fine. Early-year rhetoric from President Trump and advisor Stephen Miller citing strategic Arctic interests briefly elevated speculation, but the bill remains stalled without committee referral, votes, or significant cosponsors. Denmark and NATO allies have issued firm rejections, emphasizing Greenland's semi-autonomous status under Danish sovereignty. No recent diplomatic breakthroughs, congressional actions, or other territorial disputes—like those involving Canada, Mexico, or Panama Canal—suggest viable paths forward, as annexation requires unlikely congressional supermajority and international consent amid legal barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$19,628終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 89.5% for US annexation of any territory in 2026, driven by the absence of legislative momentum on H.R.7012, the Greenland Annexation and Statehood Act introduced in January by Rep. Fine. Early-year rhetoric from President Trump and advisor Stephen Miller citing strategic Arctic interests briefly elevated speculation, but the bill remains stalled without committee referral, votes, or significant cosponsors. Denmark and NATO allies have issued firm rejections, emphasizing Greenland's semi-autonomous status under Danish sovereignty. No recent diplomatic breakthroughs, congressional actions, or other territorial disputes—like those involving Canada, Mexico, or Panama Canal—suggest viable paths forward, as annexation requires unlikely congressional supermajority and international consent amid legal barriers.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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