Trader consensus prices "No" at 89.5% for US annexation of any territory in 2026, driven by the absence of official diplomatic initiatives, congressional votes, or executive actions advancing such claims amid entrenched international opposition and legal barriers. President Trump's renewed Greenland rhetoric in January, including a symbolic Republican bill for annexation, faced swift Danish rejection and NATO ally pushback, with no procedural progress since Davos discussions ruled out force. Recent reporting underscores US limits in territorial ambitions, as seen in stalled Arctic overtures, while April Fools' pranks like Colorado's mock New Mexico grab highlight the topic's fringe status. Without escalation in foreign policy disputes or breakdowns in alliances like NATO, structural hurdles—treaty obligations, UN Charter prohibitions, and Senate supermajority needs—sustain low yes odds through year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
$19,645 Vol.
$19,645 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$19,645 Vol.
$19,645 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 89.5% for US annexation of any territory in 2026, driven by the absence of official diplomatic initiatives, congressional votes, or executive actions advancing such claims amid entrenched international opposition and legal barriers. President Trump's renewed Greenland rhetoric in January, including a symbolic Republican bill for annexation, faced swift Danish rejection and NATO ally pushback, with no procedural progress since Davos discussions ruled out force. Recent reporting underscores US limits in territorial ambitions, as seen in stalled Arctic overtures, while April Fools' pranks like Colorado's mock New Mexico grab highlight the topic's fringe status. Without escalation in foreign policy disputes or breakdowns in alliances like NATO, structural hurdles—treaty obligations, UN Charter prohibitions, and Senate supermajority needs—sustain low yes odds through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
音量
$19,645終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 89.5% for US annexation of any territory in 2026, driven by the absence of official diplomatic initiatives, congressional votes, or executive actions advancing such claims amid entrenched international opposition and legal barriers. President Trump's renewed Greenland rhetoric in January, including a symbolic Republican bill for annexation, faced swift Danish rejection and NATO ally pushback, with no procedural progress since Davos discussions ruled out force. Recent reporting underscores US limits in territorial ambitions, as seen in stalled Arctic overtures, while April Fools' pranks like Colorado's mock New Mexico grab highlight the topic's fringe status. Without escalation in foreign policy disputes or breakdowns in alliances like NATO, structural hurdles—treaty obligations, UN Charter prohibitions, and Senate supermajority needs—sustain low yes odds through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$19,645終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 89.5% for US annexation of any territory in 2026, driven by the absence of official diplomatic initiatives, congressional votes, or executive actions advancing such claims amid entrenched international opposition and legal barriers. President Trump's renewed Greenland rhetoric in January, including a symbolic Republican bill for annexation, faced swift Danish rejection and NATO ally pushback, with no procedural progress since Davos discussions ruled out force. Recent reporting underscores US limits in territorial ambitions, as seen in stalled Arctic overtures, while April Fools' pranks like Colorado's mock New Mexico grab highlight the topic's fringe status. Without escalation in foreign policy disputes or breakdowns in alliances like NATO, structural hurdles—treaty obligations, UN Charter prohibitions, and Senate supermajority needs—sustain low yes odds through year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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