Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty that TikTok will not face a U.S. ban by March 31, driven primarily by President Trump's January 20 executive order granting a 75-day suspension of the original January 19 divestiture deadline under the 2024 foreign adversary apps law. This pushes enforcement to early April, amid ongoing negotiations between ByteDance and potential U.S. buyers like Oracle. No federal courts or agencies have accelerated action, reinforcing the "No" odds at 99.8%. Realistic shifts could arise from abrupt revocation of the extension or unexpected judicial intervention, though evidence points to continued delays.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
NEW
NEW
Mar 31, 2026
はい
NEW
NEW
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a U.S. government ban that prohibits access or use of the TikTok app by the majority of Americans in the United States becomes legally enforceable for any amount of time between November 4, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Trump’s executive order delaying enforcement of the ban expires or is removed without TikTok coming into compliance with U.S. laws and regulations, this market will resolve to “Yes” regardless of whether enforcement action is taken by the U.S. government.
If TikTok is sold to another entity in such a way that it comes into compliance with U.S. laws and regulations this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a U.S. government ban that prohibits access or use of the TikTok app by the majority of Americans in the United States becomes legally enforceable for any amount of time between November 4, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Trump’s executive order delaying enforcement of the ban expires or is removed without TikTok coming into compliance with U.S. laws and regulations, this market will resolve to “Yes” regardless of whether enforcement action is taken by the U.S. government.
If TikTok is sold to another entity in such a way that it comes into compliance with U.S. laws and regulations this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if a U.S. government ban that prohibits access or use of the TikTok app by the majority of Americans in the United States becomes legally enforceable for any amount of time between November 4, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Trump’s executive order delaying enforcement of the ban expires or is removed without TikTok coming into compliance with U.S. laws and regulations, this market will resolve to “Yes” regardless of whether enforcement action is taken by the U.S. government.
If TikTok is sold to another entity in such a way that it comes into compliance with U.S. laws and regulations this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Trump’s executive order delaying enforcement of the ban expires or is removed without TikTok coming into compliance with U.S. laws and regulations, this market will resolve to “Yes” regardless of whether enforcement action is taken by the U.S. government.
If TikTok is sold to another entity in such a way that it comes into compliance with U.S. laws and regulations this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 5, 2025, 3:02 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
Mar 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 3:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a U.S. government ban that prohibits access or use of the TikTok app by the majority of Americans in the United States becomes legally enforceable for any amount of time between November 4, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Trump’s executive order delaying enforcement of the ban expires or is removed without TikTok coming into compliance with U.S. laws and regulations, this market will resolve to “Yes” regardless of whether enforcement action is taken by the U.S. government.
If TikTok is sold to another entity in such a way that it comes into compliance with U.S. laws and regulations this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a U.S. government ban that prohibits access or use of the TikTok app by the majority of Americans in the United States becomes legally enforceable for any amount of time between November 4, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Trump’s executive order delaying enforcement of the ban expires or is removed without TikTok coming into compliance with U.S. laws and regulations, this market will resolve to “Yes” regardless of whether enforcement action is taken by the U.S. government.
If TikTok is sold to another entity in such a way that it comes into compliance with U.S. laws and regulations this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if a U.S. government ban that prohibits access or use of the TikTok app by the majority of Americans in the United States becomes legally enforceable for any amount of time between November 4, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Trump’s executive order delaying enforcement of the ban expires or is removed without TikTok coming into compliance with U.S. laws and regulations, this market will resolve to “Yes” regardless of whether enforcement action is taken by the U.S. government.
If TikTok is sold to another entity in such a way that it comes into compliance with U.S. laws and regulations this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Trump’s executive order delaying enforcement of the ban expires or is removed without TikTok coming into compliance with U.S. laws and regulations, this market will resolve to “Yes” regardless of whether enforcement action is taken by the U.S. government.
If TikTok is sold to another entity in such a way that it comes into compliance with U.S. laws and regulations this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$0終了日
Mar 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 3:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty that TikTok will not face a U.S. ban by March 31, driven primarily by President Trump's January 20 executive order granting a 75-day suspension of the original January 19 divestiture deadline under the 2024 foreign adversary apps law. This pushes enforcement to early April, amid ongoing negotiations between ByteDance and potential U.S. buyers like Oracle. No federal courts or agencies have accelerated action, reinforcing the "No" odds at 99.8%. Realistic shifts could arise from abrupt revocation of the extension or unexpected judicial intervention, though evidence points to continued delays.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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