Market icon

Will Russia capture Vuhledar before October?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$225,475 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia controls the intersection of Desantnykiv Vulytsia and Shakhtarska Vulytsia in Vuhledar Ukraine by Septmeber 30, 2024 at 11:59 PM ET.

The intersection will be considered captured if the intersection where the roads meet is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.

Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.

Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/vuhledar2.jpeg

Vuhledar Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/vuhledar1.jpeg

Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/oJfHH5ye5Htwun4n7

The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
音量
$225,475
終了日
Sep 30, 2024
作成日時
Sep 23, 2024, 9:34 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia controls the intersection of Desantnykiv Vulytsia and Shakhtarska Vulytsia in Vuhledar Ukraine by Septmeber 30, 2024 at 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if the intersection where the roads meet is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/vuhledar2.jpeg Vuhledar Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/vuhledar1.jpeg Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/oJfHH5ye5Htwun4n7 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立て

提案された結果: No

異議申し立て

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Russia capture Vuhledar before October? " is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Russia capture Vuhledar before October? " has generated $225.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 24, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Russia capture Vuhledar before October? ," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Russia capture Vuhledar before October? " is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Russia capture Vuhledar before October? " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

Will Russia capture Vuhledar before October?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$225,475 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia controls the intersection of Desantnykiv Vulytsia and Shakhtarska Vulytsia in Vuhledar Ukraine by Septmeber 30, 2024 at 11:59 PM ET.

The intersection will be considered captured if the intersection where the roads meet is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.

Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.

Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/vuhledar2.jpeg

Vuhledar Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/vuhledar1.jpeg

Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/oJfHH5ye5Htwun4n7

The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
音量
$225,475
終了日
Sep 30, 2024
作成日時
Sep 23, 2024, 9:34 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia controls the intersection of Desantnykiv Vulytsia and Shakhtarska Vulytsia in Vuhledar Ukraine by Septmeber 30, 2024 at 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if the intersection where the roads meet is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/vuhledar2.jpeg Vuhledar Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/vuhledar1.jpeg Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/oJfHH5ye5Htwun4n7 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立て

提案された結果: No

異議申し立て

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Russia capture Vuhledar before October? " is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Russia capture Vuhledar before October? " has generated $225.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 24, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Russia capture Vuhledar before October? ," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Russia capture Vuhledar before October? " is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Russia capture Vuhledar before October? " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.