Trilateral US-Russia-Ukraine peace negotiations, aimed at broader de-escalation, have paused amid the Trump administration's focus on the Iran conflict, with Kremlin aides confirming ongoing bilateral US contacts but no resumption timeline as of early April 2026. This stall reinforces trader consensus at 96% against a direct Putin-Zelenskyy summit by June 30, driven by Moscow's demands for Ukrainian territorial concessions—unacceptable to Kyiv—and Putin's refusal to engage Zelenskyy personally since their 2019 meeting, amid persistent frontline clashes like recent Russian drone barrages. Zelenskyy's insistence on full withdrawal and security guarantees, coupled with no scheduled bilateral diplomacy, underpins the high confidence in "No," though a rapid Iran ceasefire or US-brokered breakthrough could shift odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
$190,654 Vol.
$190,654 Vol.
はい
$190,654 Vol.
$190,654 Vol.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日: Sep 23, 2025, 5:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trilateral US-Russia-Ukraine peace negotiations, aimed at broader de-escalation, have paused amid the Trump administration's focus on the Iran conflict, with Kremlin aides confirming ongoing bilateral US contacts but no resumption timeline as of early April 2026. This stall reinforces trader consensus at 96% against a direct Putin-Zelenskyy summit by June 30, driven by Moscow's demands for Ukrainian territorial concessions—unacceptable to Kyiv—and Putin's refusal to engage Zelenskyy personally since their 2019 meeting, amid persistent frontline clashes like recent Russian drone barrages. Zelenskyy's insistence on full withdrawal and security guarantees, coupled with no scheduled bilateral diplomacy, underpins the high confidence in "No," though a rapid Iran ceasefire or US-brokered breakthrough could shift odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
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