Market icon

Will every Republican Senator vote to confirm RFK Jr?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$44,700 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Republican Senato votes to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. in the first roll-call vote over his confirmation as Secretary of Health and Human Services. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

Senators without a formal party affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican Parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party that they caucus with.

If another individual is confirmed as Secretary of Health and Human Services for President Donald Trump, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Robert Kennedy Jr. is appointed through a recess appointment, or is otherwise officially made the Secretary of Health and Human Services without a Senate vote, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no vote occurs before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market will be the official vote count published on the U.S. Senate website, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$44,700
終了日
Dec 31, 2025
作成日時
Jan 15, 2025, 3:43 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Republican Senato votes to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. in the first roll-call vote over his confirmation as Secretary of Health and Human Services. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. Senators without a formal party affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican Parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party that they caucus with. If another individual is confirmed as Secretary of Health and Human Services for President Donald Trump, this market will resolve to “No”. If Robert Kennedy Jr. is appointed through a recess appointment, or is otherwise officially made the Secretary of Health and Human Services without a Senate vote, this market will resolve to “No”. If no vote occurs before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be the official vote count published on the U.S. Senate website, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will every Republican Senator vote to confirm RFK Jr?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will every Republican Senator vote to confirm RFK Jr?" has generated $44.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 15, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will every Republican Senator vote to confirm RFK Jr?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will every Republican Senator vote to confirm RFK Jr?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will every Republican Senator vote to confirm RFK Jr?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

Will every Republican Senator vote to confirm RFK Jr?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$44,700 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Republican Senato votes to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. in the first roll-call vote over his confirmation as Secretary of Health and Human Services. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

Senators without a formal party affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican Parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party that they caucus with.

If another individual is confirmed as Secretary of Health and Human Services for President Donald Trump, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Robert Kennedy Jr. is appointed through a recess appointment, or is otherwise officially made the Secretary of Health and Human Services without a Senate vote, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no vote occurs before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market will be the official vote count published on the U.S. Senate website, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$44,700
終了日
Dec 31, 2025
作成日時
Jan 15, 2025, 3:43 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Republican Senato votes to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. in the first roll-call vote over his confirmation as Secretary of Health and Human Services. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. Senators without a formal party affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican Parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party that they caucus with. If another individual is confirmed as Secretary of Health and Human Services for President Donald Trump, this market will resolve to “No”. If Robert Kennedy Jr. is appointed through a recess appointment, or is otherwise officially made the Secretary of Health and Human Services without a Senate vote, this market will resolve to “No”. If no vote occurs before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be the official vote count published on the U.S. Senate website, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will every Republican Senator vote to confirm RFK Jr?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will every Republican Senator vote to confirm RFK Jr?" has generated $44.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 15, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will every Republican Senator vote to confirm RFK Jr?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will every Republican Senator vote to confirm RFK Jr?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will every Republican Senator vote to confirm RFK Jr?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.