Amid the ongoing U.S.-Israeli war with Iran entering its second month, traders have priced a near-100% probability on President Trump speaking with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in late March, following credible reports of a March 29 phone call discussing ceasefire efforts and regional reshaping. This reflects skin-in-the-game consensus on verified diplomatic outreach amid escalation signals, including Trump's Financial Times interview announcing potential ground invasion plans. Confirmed earlier interactions—like a March 9 call with Vladimir Putin on Iran and Ukraine, and bilateral meetings with German Chancellor Friedrich Merz on March 3 and Irish Taoiseach Micheál Martin on March 17—have not shifted volumes toward those outcomes, amid disputes over a claimed March 28 Xi Jinping conversation lacking full consensus. The market awaits UMA resolution review.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$10,120,640 Vol.

ムハンマド・ビン・サルマン
100%

習近平
<1%

マーク・ルッテ
<1%
$10,120,640 Vol.

ムハンマド・ビン・サルマン
100%

習近平
<1%

マーク・ルッテ
<1%
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日: Mar 1, 2026, 1:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立て
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立て
最終審査
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立て
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立て
最終審査
Amid the ongoing U.S.-Israeli war with Iran entering its second month, traders have priced a near-100% probability on President Trump speaking with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in late March, following credible reports of a March 29 phone call discussing ceasefire efforts and regional reshaping. This reflects skin-in-the-game consensus on verified diplomatic outreach amid escalation signals, including Trump's Financial Times interview announcing potential ground invasion plans. Confirmed earlier interactions—like a March 9 call with Vladimir Putin on Iran and Ukraine, and bilateral meetings with German Chancellor Friedrich Merz on March 3 and Irish Taoiseach Micheál Martin on March 17—have not shifted volumes toward those outcomes, amid disputes over a claimed March 28 Xi Jinping conversation lacking full consensus. The market awaits UMA resolution review.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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