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トランプ大統領は3月に誰と話しますか?

Market icon

トランプ大統領は3月に誰と話しますか?

$10,120,640 Vol.

2026/03/31
Polymarket

$10,120,640 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

ムハンマド・ビン・サルマン

$1,611,964 Vol.

100%

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習近平

$7,599,345 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

マーク・ルッテ

$705,957 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid the ongoing U.S.-Israeli war with Iran entering its second month, traders have priced a near-100% probability on President Trump speaking with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in late March, following credible reports of a March 29 phone call discussing ceasefire efforts and regional reshaping. This reflects skin-in-the-game consensus on verified diplomatic outreach amid escalation signals, including Trump's Financial Times interview announcing potential ground invasion plans. Confirmed earlier interactions—like a March 9 call with Vladimir Putin on Iran and Ukraine, and bilateral meetings with German Chancellor Friedrich Merz on March 3 and Irish Taoiseach Micheál Martin on March 17—have not shifted volumes toward those outcomes, amid disputes over a claimed March 28 Xi Jinping conversation lacking full consensus. The market awaits UMA resolution review.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$10,120,640
終了日
2026/03/31
マーケット開始日
Mar 1, 2026, 1:48 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立て

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立て

最終審査

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid the ongoing U.S.-Israeli war with Iran entering its second month, traders have priced a near-100% probability on President Trump speaking with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in late March, following credible reports of a March 29 phone call discussing ceasefire efforts and regional reshaping. This reflects skin-in-the-game consensus on verified diplomatic outreach amid escalation signals, including Trump's Financial Times interview announcing potential ground invasion plans. Confirmed earlier interactions—like a March 9 call with Vladimir Putin on Iran and Ukraine, and bilateral meetings with German Chancellor Friedrich Merz on March 3 and Irish Taoiseach Micheál Martin on March 17—have not shifted volumes toward those outcomes, amid disputes over a claimed March 28 Xi Jinping conversation lacking full consensus. The market awaits UMA resolution review.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$10,120,640
終了日
2026/03/31
マーケット開始日
Mar 1, 2026, 1:48 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立て

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立て

最終審査

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「トランプ大統領は3月に誰と話しますか?」はPolymarket上の19個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ムハンマド・ビン・サルマン」で100%、次いで「フリードリヒ・メルツ」が100%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「トランプ大統領は3月に誰と話しますか?」は$10.1 millionの総取引量を生み出しています(Mar 1, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「トランプ大統領は3月に誰と話しますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている19個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「トランプ大統領は3月に誰と話しますか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「ムハンマド・ビン・サルマン」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「フリードリヒ・メルツ」で100%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「トランプ大統領は3月に誰と話しますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。