Market icon

一般教書演説でトランプ氏は誰に名前を挙げますか?

Market icon

一般教書演説でトランプ氏は誰に名前を挙げますか?

$778,375 Vol.

Feb 24, 2026
Polymarket

$778,375 Vol.

Polymarket

アヤトラ / ハメネイ

$8,171 Vol.

いいえ

ベックストロム

$14,682 Vol.

はい

ベッセント

$18,125 Vol.

いいえ

ビビ / ネタニヤフ

$13,406 Vol.

いいえ

チャーリー・カーク

$43,982 Vol.

はい

クリントン

$12,738 Vol.

いいえ

エリザベス・ウォーレン/ポカホンタス

$6,992 Vol.

いいえ

イーロン / マスク

$12,353 Vol.

いいえ

ヘグセス

$14,012 Vol.

いいえ

ホーマン

$17,001 Vol.

いいえ

ハワード / ルトニック

$11,362 Vol.

いいえ

クシュナー

$22,752 Vol.

はい

カロライン / リーヴィット

$10,737 Vol.

いいえ

カシュ / パテル

$11,243 Vol.

いいえ

ノーム

$9,681 Vol.

いいえ

リンカーン

$12,608 Vol.

いいえ

マドゥロ

$18,016 Vol.

はい

マルコ/ルビオ

$14,769 Vol.

はい

モンロー

$24,558 Vol.

いいえ

ニューサム/ニュースカム

$19,690 Vol.

いいえ

オバマ

$103,547 Vol.

はい

パム/ボンディ

$11,688 Vol.

いいえ

パウエル / 遅すぎる

$9,538 Vol.

いいえ

習主席

$18,077 Vol.

いいえ

ムハンマド皇太子

$12,918 Vol.

いいえ

プーチン

$17,169 Vol.

いいえ

レーガン

$15,552 Vol.

いいえ

レザ / パフラヴィ

$8,660 Vol.

いいえ

シューマー

$3,913 Vol.

いいえ

スージー・ワイルズ

$8,570 Vol.

いいえ

スーン

$14,052 Vol.

いいえ

ウォルツ

$8,445 Vol.

いいえ

ウィトコフ

$33,363 Vol.

はい

ゼレンスキー

$12,449 Vol.

いいえ

ゾーラン / マムダニ

$14,622 Vol.

いいえ

ブッシュ

$7,228 Vol.

いいえ

バイデン

$58,518 Vol.

はい

カバノー

$818 Vol.

いいえ

ケビン・ウォーシュ

$7,103 Vol.

いいえ

ジュディ・シェルトン

$74,897 Vol.

いいえ

マチャド

$2,157 Vol.

いいえ

ケイン

$2,500 Vol.

いいえ

デル

$10,084 Vol.

はい

スカリス

$5,627 Vol.

いいえ

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled delivery of the 2026 State of the Union address. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
音量
$778,375
終了日
Feb 24, 2026
マーケット開始日
Jan 20, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812 This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled delivery of the 2026 State of the Union address. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

提案された結果: はい

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: はい

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"一般教書演説でトランプ氏は誰に名前を挙げますか?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "ベックストロム" at 100%, followed by "チャーリー・カーク" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "一般教書演説でトランプ氏は誰に名前を挙げますか?" has generated $778.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "一般教書演説でトランプ氏は誰に名前を挙げますか?," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "一般教書演説でトランプ氏は誰に名前を挙げますか?" is "ベックストロム" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "チャーリー・カーク" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "一般教書演説でトランプ氏は誰に名前を挙げますか?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.