Market icon

Who will call for Biden to drop out?

$415,479 Vol.

Aug 31, 2024
Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nancy Pelosi publicly states that Joe Biden should drop out of the 2024 presidential race before 12:00 AM ET on the first day of the Democratic National Convention, currently scheduled for August 19, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Statements that the Democratic party should nominate another candidate other than Joe Biden will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

Statements that are hedged or express ambiguity, such as “We need to consider our options for the nominee” will NOT qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

If the DNC does not begin by August 31, and Pelosi has not called for Biden to leave the ticket, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Nancy Pelosi or her official representative(s); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$415,479
終了日
Aug 19, 2024
作成日時
Jun 28, 2024, 1:51 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nancy Pelosi publicly states that Joe Biden should drop out of the 2024 presidential race before 12:00 AM ET on the first day of the Democratic National Convention, currently scheduled for August 19, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Statements that the Democratic party should nominate another candidate other than Joe Biden will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. Statements that are hedged or express ambiguity, such as “We need to consider our options for the nominee” will NOT qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If the DNC does not begin by August 31, and Pelosi has not called for Biden to leave the ticket, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Nancy Pelosi or her official representative(s); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will call for Biden to drop out?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Joe Manchin " at 100%, followed by "Nancy Pelosi " at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will call for Biden to drop out?" has generated $415.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 28, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will call for Biden to drop out?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will call for Biden to drop out?" is "Joe Manchin " at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nancy Pelosi " at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will call for Biden to drop out?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

Who will call for Biden to drop out?

$415,479 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Nancy Pelosi

$58,840 Vol.

No

Market icon

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$39,790 Vol.

No

Market icon

Hillary Clinton

$313,451 Vol.

No

Market icon

Joe Manchin

$3,398 Vol.

Yes

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will call for Biden to drop out?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Joe Manchin " at 100%, followed by "Nancy Pelosi " at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will call for Biden to drop out?" has generated $415.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 28, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will call for Biden to drop out?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will call for Biden to drop out?" is "Joe Manchin " at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nancy Pelosi " at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will call for Biden to drop out?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.