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政治·トランプ大統領

Who will be Trump's Defense Secretary?

Market icon
政治·トランプ大統領

Who will be Trump's Defense Secretary?

Pete Hegseth 100.0%

Ron DeSantis <1%

Tom Cotton <1%

Robert O'Brien <1%

Polymarket

$14,011,760 Vol.

Pete Hegseth 100.0%

Ron DeSantis <1%

Tom Cotton <1%

Robert O'Brien <1%

Polymarket

$14,011,760 Vol.

Market icon

Ron DeSantis

$286,809 Vol.

No

Market icon

Tom Cotton

$141,214 Vol.

No

Market icon

Robert O'Brien

$6,904,060 Vol.

No

Market icon

Joni Ernst

$406,097 Vol.

No

Market icon

Pete Hegseth

$2,358,456 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

Mike Waltz

$213,155 Vol.

No

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Elbridge Colby

$98,912 Vol.

No

Market icon

Mike Pompeo

$220,462 Vol.

No

Market icon

Christopher Miller

$560,478 Vol.

No

Market icon

Mike Gallagher

$2,022,557 Vol.

No

Market icon

Thomas Massie

$686,366 Vol.

No

Market icon

Mike Rogers

$113,193 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump appoints Ron DeSantis as Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A candidate will be considered to have been appointed if they are confirmed to the position through a senate vote, appointed through a recess appointment, or are otherwise officially made the Secretary of Defense. This market will resolve based on the first Trump candidate who is appointed to this position - if another candidate is appointed to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Government. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump appoints Tom Cotton as Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A candidate will be considered to have been appointed if they are confirmed to the position through a senate vote, appointed through a recess appointment, or are otherwise officially made the Secretary of Defense. This market will resolve based on the first Trump candidate who is appointed to this position - if another candidate is appointed to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Government. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump appoints Robert O'Brien as Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A candidate will be considered to have been appointed if they are confirmed to the position through a senate vote, appointed through a recess appointment, or are otherwise officially made the Secretary of Defense. This market will resolve based on the first Trump candidate who is appointed to this position - if another candidate is appointed to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Government. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump appoints Joni Ernst as Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A candidate will be considered to have been appointed if they are confirmed to the position through a senate vote, appointed through a recess appointment, or are otherwise officially made the Secretary of Defense. This market will resolve based on the first Trump candidate who is appointed to this position - if another candidate is appointed to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Government. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump appoints Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A candidate will be considered to have been appointed if they are confirmed to the position through a senate vote, appointed through a recess appointment, or are otherwise officially made the Secretary of Defense. This market will resolve based on the first Trump candidate who is appointed to this position - if another candidate is appointed to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Government. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump appoints Mike Waltz as Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A candidate will be considered to have been appointed if they are confirmed to the position through a senate vote, appointed through a recess appointment, or are otherwise officially made the Secretary of Defense. This market will resolve based on the first Trump candidate who is appointed to this position - if another candidate is appointed to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Government. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump appoints Elbridge Colby as Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A candidate will be considered to have been appointed if they are confirmed to the position through a senate vote, appointed through a recess appointment, or are otherwise officially made the Secretary of Defense. This market will resolve based on the first Trump candidate who is appointed to this position - if another candidate is appointed to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Government. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump appoints Mike Pompeo as Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A candidate will be considered to have been appointed if they are confirmed to the position through a senate vote, appointed through a recess appointment, or are otherwise officially made the Secretary of Defense. This market will resolve based on the first Trump candidate who is appointed to this position - if another candidate is appointed to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Government. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump appoints Christopher Miller as Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A candidate will be considered to have been appointed if they are confirmed to the position through a senate vote, appointed through a recess appointment, or are otherwise officially made the Secretary of Defense. This market will resolve based on the first Trump candidate who is appointed to this position - if another candidate is appointed to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Government. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump appoints Mike Gallagher as Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A candidate will be considered to have been appointed if they are confirmed to the position through a senate vote, appointed through a recess appointment, or are otherwise officially made the Secretary of Defense. This market will resolve based on the first Trump candidate who is appointed to this position - if another candidate is appointed to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Government. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump appoints Thomas Massie as Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A candidate will be considered to have been appointed if they are confirmed to the position through a senate vote, appointed through a recess appointment, or are otherwise officially made the Secretary of Defense. This market will resolve based on the first Trump candidate who is appointed to this position - if another candidate is appointed to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Government. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump appoints Mike Rogers as Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A candidate will be considered to have been appointed if they are confirmed to the position through a senate vote, appointed through a recess appointment, or are otherwise officially made the Secretary of Defense. This market will resolve based on the first Trump candidate who is appointed to this position - if another candidate is appointed to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Government.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump appoints Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A candidate will be considered to have been appointed if they are confirmed to the position through a senate vote, appointed through a recess appointment, or are otherwise officially made the Secretary of Defense.

This market will resolve based on the first Trump candidate who is appointed to this position - if another candidate is appointed to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Government.
音量
$14,011,760
終了日
Jun 30, 2025
マーケット開始日
Nov 14, 2024, 6:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump appoints Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A candidate will be considered to have been appointed if they are confirmed to the position through a senate vote, appointed through a recess appointment, or are otherwise officially made the Secretary of Defense. This market will resolve based on the first Trump candidate who is appointed to this position - if another candidate is appointed to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Government.

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump appoints Ron DeSantis as Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A candidate will be considered to have been appointed if they are confirmed to the position through a senate vote, appointed through a recess appointment, or are otherwise officially made the Secretary of Defense. This market will resolve based on the first Trump candidate who is appointed to this position - if another candidate is appointed to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Government. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump appoints Tom Cotton as Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A candidate will be considered to have been appointed if they are confirmed to the position through a senate vote, appointed through a recess appointment, or are otherwise officially made the Secretary of Defense. This market will resolve based on the first Trump candidate who is appointed to this position - if another candidate is appointed to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Government. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump appoints Robert O'Brien as Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A candidate will be considered to have been appointed if they are confirmed to the position through a senate vote, appointed through a recess appointment, or are otherwise officially made the Secretary of Defense. This market will resolve based on the first Trump candidate who is appointed to this position - if another candidate is appointed to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Government. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump appoints Joni Ernst as Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A candidate will be considered to have been appointed if they are confirmed to the position through a senate vote, appointed through a recess appointment, or are otherwise officially made the Secretary of Defense. This market will resolve based on the first Trump candidate who is appointed to this position - if another candidate is appointed to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Government. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump appoints Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A candidate will be considered to have been appointed if they are confirmed to the position through a senate vote, appointed through a recess appointment, or are otherwise officially made the Secretary of Defense. This market will resolve based on the first Trump candidate who is appointed to this position - if another candidate is appointed to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Government. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump appoints Mike Waltz as Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A candidate will be considered to have been appointed if they are confirmed to the position through a senate vote, appointed through a recess appointment, or are otherwise officially made the Secretary of Defense. This market will resolve based on the first Trump candidate who is appointed to this position - if another candidate is appointed to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Government. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump appoints Elbridge Colby as Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A candidate will be considered to have been appointed if they are confirmed to the position through a senate vote, appointed through a recess appointment, or are otherwise officially made the Secretary of Defense. This market will resolve based on the first Trump candidate who is appointed to this position - if another candidate is appointed to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Government. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump appoints Mike Pompeo as Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A candidate will be considered to have been appointed if they are confirmed to the position through a senate vote, appointed through a recess appointment, or are otherwise officially made the Secretary of Defense. This market will resolve based on the first Trump candidate who is appointed to this position - if another candidate is appointed to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Government. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump appoints Christopher Miller as Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A candidate will be considered to have been appointed if they are confirmed to the position through a senate vote, appointed through a recess appointment, or are otherwise officially made the Secretary of Defense. This market will resolve based on the first Trump candidate who is appointed to this position - if another candidate is appointed to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Government. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump appoints Mike Gallagher as Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A candidate will be considered to have been appointed if they are confirmed to the position through a senate vote, appointed through a recess appointment, or are otherwise officially made the Secretary of Defense. This market will resolve based on the first Trump candidate who is appointed to this position - if another candidate is appointed to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Government. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump appoints Thomas Massie as Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A candidate will be considered to have been appointed if they are confirmed to the position through a senate vote, appointed through a recess appointment, or are otherwise officially made the Secretary of Defense. This market will resolve based on the first Trump candidate who is appointed to this position - if another candidate is appointed to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Government. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump appoints Mike Rogers as Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A candidate will be considered to have been appointed if they are confirmed to the position through a senate vote, appointed through a recess appointment, or are otherwise officially made the Secretary of Defense. This market will resolve based on the first Trump candidate who is appointed to this position - if another candidate is appointed to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Government.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Who will be Trump's Defense Secretary? 」はPolymarket上の12個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Pete Hegseth」で100%、次いで「Ron DeSantis」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Who will be Trump's Defense Secretary? 」は$14 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Nov 14, 2024のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Who will be Trump's Defense Secretary? 」で取引するには、このページに記載されている12個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Who will be Trump's Defense Secretary? 」の現在のフロントランナーは「Pete Hegseth」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Ron DeSantis」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Who will be Trump's Defense Secretary? 」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。