$2,224,481 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025

Mitch McConnell
$158,812 Vol.
No

Bernie Sanders
$1,001,426 Vol.
No

Lisa Murkowski
$73,902 Vol.
Yes

John Fetterman
$773,968 Vol.
No

John Curtis
$42,948 Vol.
Yes

Susan Collins
$52,562 Vol.
Yes

Bill Cassidy
$120,863 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mitch McConnell votes to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. in the first roll-call vote over his confirmation as Secretary of Health and Human Services. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If another individual is confirmed as Secretary of Health and Human Services for President Donald Trump, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Robert Kennedy Jr. is appointed through a recess appointment, or is otherwise officially made the Secretary of Health and Human Services without a Senate vote, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no vote occurs before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be the official vote count published on the U.S. Senate website, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mitch McConnell votes to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. in the first roll-call vote over his confirmation as Secretary of Health and Human Services. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If another individual is confirmed as Secretary of Health and Human Services for President Donald Trump, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Robert Kennedy Jr. is appointed through a recess appointment, or is otherwise officially made the Secretary of Health and Human Services without a Senate vote, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no vote occurs before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be the official vote count published on the U.S. Senate website, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If another individual is confirmed as Secretary of Health and Human Services for President Donald Trump, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Robert Kennedy Jr. is appointed through a recess appointment, or is otherwise officially made the Secretary of Health and Human Services without a Senate vote, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no vote occurs before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be the official vote count published on the U.S. Senate website, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
作成日: Jan 14, 2025, 3:27 PM ET
音量
$2,224,481終了日
Dec 31, 2025作成日時
Jan 14, 2025, 3:27 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...提案された結果: No
異議申し立て
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
$2,224,481 Vol.

Mitch McConnell
$158,812 Vol.
No

Bernie Sanders
$1,001,426 Vol.
No

Lisa Murkowski
$73,902 Vol.
Yes

John Fetterman
$773,968 Vol.
No

John Curtis
$42,948 Vol.
Yes

Susan Collins
$52,562 Vol.
Yes

Bill Cassidy
$120,863 Vol.
Yes
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Frequently Asked Questions
"Which Senators will vote to confirm RFK Jr.?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Lisa Murkowski " at 100%, followed by "John Curtis" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "Which Senators will vote to confirm RFK Jr.?" has generated $2.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 14, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "Which Senators will vote to confirm RFK Jr.?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current frontrunner for "Which Senators will vote to confirm RFK Jr.?" is "Lisa Murkowski " at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "John Curtis" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.
The resolution rules for "Which Senators will vote to confirm RFK Jr.?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

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外部リンクに注意してください。
Frequently Asked Questions