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地政学·トランプ

2027年までにトランプ大統領が新たな貿易協定を結ぶ国は？

Market icon
地政学·トランプ

2027年までにトランプ大統領が新たな貿易協定を結ぶ国は？

12月 31

12月 31

$189,130 Vol.

2026/12/31
Polymarket

$189,130 Vol.

Polymarket

イスラエル

$0 Vol.

24%

インド

$34,574 Vol.

24%

メキシコ

$1,722 Vol.

22%

イギリス

$419 Vol.

19%

カナダ

$0 Vol.

21%

日本

$4,252 Vol.

21%

ベトナム

$4,858 Vol.

21%

台湾

$29,198 Vol.

19%

インドネシア

$17,847 Vol.

18%

パキスタン

$67,682 Vol.

18%

韓国

$0 Vol.

16%

アルゼンチン

$18,527 Vol.

16%

ロシア

$1,766 Vol.

16%

欧州連合

$3,975 Vol.

14%

南アフリカ

$0 Vol.

14%

ブラジル

$3,009 Vol.

18%

オーストラリア

$1,300 Vol.

11%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's administration has aggressively pursued bilateral trade agreements using tariffs as leverage, finalizing key deals in recent months including Indonesia on February 19, 2026, after a July 2025 framework; North Macedonia's reciprocal trade agreement on February 12; and Taiwan's formalized terms shortly after. A December 2025 proclamation activated the US-Israel Agreement on Trade in Agricultural Products, while earlier pacts like Japan's July auto tariff reductions advanced. The USTR's March 2026 Trade Policy Agenda signals ongoing negotiations with Ecuador, the European Union, India, and others toward comprehensive deals before 2027. Amid trade tensions with Canada and Mexico under USMCA rules, these diplomatic and tariff pressures shape trader assessments of additional bilateral breakthroughs.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$189,130
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 5:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's administration has aggressively pursued bilateral trade agreements using tariffs as leverage, finalizing key deals in recent months including Indonesia on February 19, 2026, after a July 2025 framework; North Macedonia's reciprocal trade agreement on February 12; and Taiwan's formalized terms shortly after. A December 2025 proclamation activated the US-Israel Agreement on Trade in Agricultural Products, while earlier pacts like Japan's July auto tariff reductions advanced. The USTR's March 2026 Trade Policy Agenda signals ongoing negotiations with Ecuador, the European Union, India, and others toward comprehensive deals before 2027. Amid trade tensions with Canada and Mexico under USMCA rules, these diplomatic and tariff pressures shape trader assessments of additional bilateral breakthroughs.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$189,130
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 5:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「2027年までにトランプ大統領が新たな貿易協定を結ぶ国は？」はPolymarket上の17個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「イスラエル」で24%、次いで「インド」が24%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、24¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に24%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「2027年までにトランプ大統領が新たな貿易協定を結ぶ国は？」は$189.1Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Nov 5, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「2027年までにトランプ大統領が新たな貿易協定を結ぶ国は？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている17個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「2027年までにトランプ大統領が新たな貿易協定を結ぶ国は？」の現在のフロントランナーは「イスラエル」で24%であり、市場がこの結果に24%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「インド」で24%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「2027年までにトランプ大統領が新たな貿易協定を結ぶ国は？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。