The Board of Peace, established under UN Security Council Resolution 2803 to oversee Gaza reconstruction as a transitional administration chaired by President Trump, counts 25 confirmed members following its February 19 inaugural summit in Washington, including Israel, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Egypt, Jordan, Turkey, Indonesia, and select Asian and Latin American nations like Argentina and Paraguay. No new countries have joined in the past 30 days amid criticisms from UN experts on March 2 over legitimacy and self-determination concerns, plus Indonesia pausing deeper engagement on March 4 due to the Iran crisis. With the March 31 deadline three days away, trader consensus reflects low implied probabilities for holdouts like Brazil or India, citing diplomatic barriers, EU abstentions, and major powers such as China and Russia declining invitations; last-minute official announcements remain possible but unlikely per historical multilateral patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$3,313,075 Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
ブラジル
4%
インド
3%
英国
1%
イタリア
1%
ベルギー
1%
スペイン
1%
フィンランド
1%
フランス
1%
スウェーデン
1%
ドイツ
1%
ロシア
1%
スイス
1%
デンマーク
1%
オランダ
1%
ノルウェー
<1%
パレスチナ
<1%
中国
<1%
ウクライナ
<1%
$3,313,075 Vol.
ブラジル
$29,242 Vol.
4%
インド
$46,296 Vol.
3%
英国
$125,921 Vol.
1%
イタリア
$194,712 Vol.
1%
ベルギー
$37,589 Vol.
1%
スペイン
$100,138 Vol.
1%
フィンランド
$577,867 Vol.
1%
フランス
$62,725 Vol.
1%
スウェーデン
$225,354 Vol.
1%
ドイツ
$108,123 Vol.
1%
ロシア
$274,198 Vol.
1%
スイス
$50,066 Vol.
1%
デンマーク
$343,307 Vol.
1%
オランダ
$280,441 Vol.
1%
ノルウェー
$511,179 Vol.
<1%
パレスチナ
$43,679 Vol.
<1%
中国
$119,351 Vol.
<1%
ウクライナ
$80,102 Vol.
<1%
Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-names-rubio-blair-kushner-gaza-board-under-trumps-plan-2026-01-17/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Board of Peace, established under UN Security Council Resolution 2803 to oversee Gaza reconstruction as a transitional administration chaired by President Trump, counts 25 confirmed members following its February 19 inaugural summit in Washington, including Israel, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Egypt, Jordan, Turkey, Indonesia, and select Asian and Latin American nations like Argentina and Paraguay. No new countries have joined in the past 30 days amid criticisms from UN experts on March 2 over legitimacy and self-determination concerns, plus Indonesia pausing deeper engagement on March 4 due to the Iran crisis. With the March 31 deadline three days away, trader consensus reflects low implied probabilities for holdouts like Brazil or India, citing diplomatic barriers, EU abstentions, and major powers such as China and Russia declining invitations; last-minute official announcements remain possible but unlikely per historical multilateral patterns.
Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-names-rubio-blair-kushner-gaza-board-under-trumps-plan-2026-01-17/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 21, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
音量
$3,313,075終了日
Mar 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 21, 2026, 2:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-names-rubio-blair-kushner-gaza-board-under-trumps-plan-2026-01-17/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Board of Peace, established under UN Security Council Resolution 2803 to oversee Gaza reconstruction as a transitional administration chaired by President Trump, counts 25 confirmed members following its February 19 inaugural summit in Washington, including Israel, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Egypt, Jordan, Turkey, Indonesia, and select Asian and Latin American nations like Argentina and Paraguay. No new countries have joined in the past 30 days amid criticisms from UN experts on March 2 over legitimacy and self-determination concerns, plus Indonesia pausing deeper engagement on March 4 due to the Iran crisis. With the March 31 deadline three days away, trader consensus reflects low implied probabilities for holdouts like Brazil or India, citing diplomatic barriers, EU abstentions, and major powers such as China and Russia declining invitations; last-minute official announcements remain possible but unlikely per historical multilateral patterns.
Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-names-rubio-blair-kushner-gaza-board-under-trumps-plan-2026-01-17/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$3,313,075終了日
Mar 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 21, 2026, 2:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Board of Peace, established under UN Security Council Resolution 2803 to oversee Gaza reconstruction as a transitional administration chaired by President Trump, counts 25 confirmed members following its February 19 inaugural summit in Washington, including Israel, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Egypt, Jordan, Turkey, Indonesia, and select Asian and Latin American nations like Argentina and Paraguay. No new countries have joined in the past 30 days amid criticisms from UN experts on March 2 over legitimacy and self-determination concerns, plus Indonesia pausing deeper engagement on March 4 due to the Iran crisis. With the March 31 deadline three days away, trader consensus reflects low implied probabilities for holdouts like Brazil or India, citing diplomatic barriers, EU abstentions, and major powers such as China and Russia declining invitations; last-minute official announcements remain possible but unlikely per historical multilateral patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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