The U.S.-led Board of Peace, established in January 2026 under UN Security Council Resolution 2803 to oversee Gaza reconstruction and peacekeeping, counts approximately 28 founding members including Israel, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Qatar, Jordan, Egypt, Turkey, Indonesia, Pakistan, and Hungary, following its inaugural summit on February 19. No new countries have joined in the past 30 days amid stalled diplomatic efforts, with major holdouts like Brazil, India, China, France, Germany, and the UK maintaining firm declines due to concerns over the board's mandate rivaling UN authority. As the March 31 deadline approaches without announced invitations or negotiations, trader consensus reflects low probabilities for late additions, focusing instead on implementation challenges like Director General Nickolay Mladenov's recent Gaza disarmament proposal.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$3,238,639 Vol.
ブラジル
3%
インド
3%
英国
1%
イタリア
1%
スペイン
1%
ベルギー
1%
フィンランド
1%
フランス
1%
スウェーデン
1%
ドイツ
1%
ロシア
1%
スイス
1%
デンマーク
1%
オランダ
1%
ノルウェー
<1%
パレスチナ
<1%
中国
<1%
ウクライナ
<1%
$3,238,639 Vol.
ブラジル
3%
インド
3%
英国
1%
イタリア
1%
スペイン
1%
ベルギー
1%
フィンランド
1%
フランス
1%
スウェーデン
1%
ドイツ
1%
ロシア
1%
スイス
1%
デンマーク
1%
オランダ
1%
ノルウェー
<1%
パレスチナ
<1%
中国
<1%
ウクライナ
<1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Jan 21, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The U.S.-led Board of Peace, established in January 2026 under UN Security Council Resolution 2803 to oversee Gaza reconstruction and peacekeeping, counts approximately 28 founding members including Israel, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Qatar, Jordan, Egypt, Turkey, Indonesia, Pakistan, and Hungary, following its inaugural summit on February 19. No new countries have joined in the past 30 days amid stalled diplomatic efforts, with major holdouts like Brazil, India, China, France, Germany, and the UK maintaining firm declines due to concerns over the board's mandate rivaling UN authority. As the March 31 deadline approaches without announced invitations or negotiations, trader consensus reflects low probabilities for late additions, focusing instead on implementation challenges like Director General Nickolay Mladenov's recent Gaza disarmament proposal.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問