Trump's prolific Truth Social posts and campaign trail rhetoric remain the dominant drivers of trader consensus for his statements during the March 25-31 week, with markets reflecting his consistent repetition of phrases on election integrity, legal challenges, and border security. Recent posts on March 28 highlighted NCAA tournament controversies and criticized Biden's policies, aligning with patterns seen in prior weeks amid ongoing hush money and Georgia cases. No major rallies occurred, but daily social media output sustains high probabilities for familiar talking points. Upcoming April 2 Wisconsin rally could preview shifts, though traders weigh historical base rates where Trump reiterates core grievances over 80% of days. Odds capture crowd wisdom on these predictable patterns amid fluid legal schedules.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$179,776 Vol.
Minnesota / Minneapolis
63%
Ass / Shit
35%
Tiger
14%
Boeing
37%
Dark cloud
47%
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
50%
Democrat Shutdown
46%
Kaitlan Collins
14%
Egg
77%
Gay
16%
Death Tax
56%
Eat our Lunch
13%
Ethanol
75%
UK / United Kingdom
81%
Embargo
32%
Finish the Job
52%
Khamenei
21%
Rigged / Stolen
86%
Peanut
22%
Cookie
52%
Crypto / Bitcoin
33%
Chuck Norris
17%
Six Seven
23%
$179,776 Vol.
Minnesota / Minneapolis
63%
Ass / Shit
35%
Tiger
14%
Boeing
37%
Dark cloud
47%
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
50%
Democrat Shutdown
46%
Kaitlan Collins
14%
Egg
77%
Gay
16%
Death Tax
56%
Eat our Lunch
13%
Ethanol
75%
UK / United Kingdom
81%
Embargo
32%
Finish the Job
52%
Khamenei
21%
Rigged / Stolen
86%
Peanut
22%
Cookie
52%
Crypto / Bitcoin
33%
Chuck Norris
17%
Six Seven
23%
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's prolific Truth Social posts and campaign trail rhetoric remain the dominant drivers of trader consensus for his statements during the March 25-31 week, with markets reflecting his consistent repetition of phrases on election integrity, legal challenges, and border security. Recent posts on March 28 highlighted NCAA tournament controversies and criticized Biden's policies, aligning with patterns seen in prior weeks amid ongoing hush money and Georgia cases. No major rallies occurred, but daily social media output sustains high probabilities for familiar talking points. Upcoming April 2 Wisconsin rally could preview shifts, though traders weigh historical base rates where Trump reiterates core grievances over 80% of days. Odds capture crowd wisdom on these predictable patterns amid fluid legal schedules.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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