Market icon
政治·メンション

What will Trump say in March?

Market icon
政治·メンション

What will Trump say in March?

$1,232,577 Vol.

2026/03/31
Polymarket

$1,232,577 Vol.

Polymarket

Big Fat Cat

$2,239 Vol.

No

N Word

$58,292 Vol.

No

Hottest Nation

$12,482 Vol.

No

Little Rocket Man

$3,240 Vol.

No

China Virus / Wuhan Lab

$3,776 Vol.

No

Low Energy

$7,787 Vol.

No

Aliens are Real

$13,233 Vol.

No

Kanye / Taylor Swift

$3,228 Vol.

No

Banana Republic

$1,783 Vol.

No

Barack Hussein Obama

$11,314 Vol.

Yes

Bitcoin

$9,622 Vol.

Yes

Judy Shelton

$2,869 Vol.

No

Data Center

$0 Vol.

Yes

Midnight Hammer

$16,634 Vol.

Yes

Secret Word

$499 Vol.

No

Debate

$0 Vol.

Yes

Drill Baby Drill

$0 Vol.

Yes

Charlie Kirk

$6,507 Vol.

No

War On Fraud

$753 Vol.

No

Lonely

$0 Vol.

Yes

Coward

$6,430 Vol.

No

Capital of the World

$1,840 Vol.

No

UFC Fight

$2,214 Vol.

No

Easter

$0 Vol.

Yes

Liberation Day

$2,390 Vol.

No

Pulitzer Prize

$0 Vol.

Yes

Snake

$8,595 Vol.

Yes

Sudan

$1,649 Vol.

No

Truth Social

$6,352 Vol.

No

Escalator

$1,157 Vol.

Yes

Erika Kirk

$1,047 Vol.

No

Third term

$1,046,647 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market. A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's verbal mentions of specific phrases during public events from March 1 to 31, 2026—including the March 3 meeting with Chancellor Merz, March 9 press conference, March 25 NRCC dinner, March 26 cabinet meeting, March 27 FII Priority Summit, and March 31 executive order signing—drive current trader consensus in this multi-outcome market. With the timeframe closed, prices reflect verified audio or video evidence, confirming Yes for phrases like "Barack Hussein Obama" and "Bitcoin" at full payout levels, while resolving No for others such as "N Word." Disputes, like an incomplete "third term" clip, remain under review by market resolvers, underscoring the focus on exact phrasing excluding written posts or AI content. Final resolutions could shift minor holdouts amid ongoing evidence submissions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
音量
$1,232,577
終了日
2026/03/31
マーケット開始日
Feb 26, 2026, 6:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market. A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market. A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's verbal mentions of specific phrases during public events from March 1 to 31, 2026—including the March 3 meeting with Chancellor Merz, March 9 press conference, March 25 NRCC dinner, March 26 cabinet meeting, March 27 FII Priority Summit, and March 31 executive order signing—drive current trader consensus in this multi-outcome market. With the timeframe closed, prices reflect verified audio or video evidence, confirming Yes for phrases like "Barack Hussein Obama" and "Bitcoin" at full payout levels, while resolving No for others such as "N Word." Disputes, like an incomplete "third term" clip, remain under review by market resolvers, underscoring the focus on exact phrasing excluding written posts or AI content. Final resolutions could shift minor holdouts amid ongoing evidence submissions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
音量
$1,232,577
終了日
2026/03/31
マーケット開始日
Feb 26, 2026, 6:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market. A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「What will Trump say in March?」はPolymarket上の32個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Barack Hussein Obama」で100%、次いで「Bitcoin」が100%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「What will Trump say in March?」は$1.2 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Feb 26, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「What will Trump say in March?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている32個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「What will Trump say in March?」の現在のフロントランナーは「Barack Hussein Obama」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Bitcoin」で100%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「What will Trump say in March?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。