Market icon

What will Biden say during farewell address?

YoutubeVideo LogoEnded

$608,359 Vol.

Jan 15, 2025
Polymarket

President Joe Biden’s farewell address is scheduled to take place on January 15, 2025, 8:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "malarkey" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "malarkey" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to foolish talk or nonsense.

If the event is cancelled or delayed beyond January 19, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be the video of the speech, however the official transcript will be used to settle cases of ambiguity.
音量
$608,359
終了日
Jan 15, 2025
作成日時
Jan 13, 2025, 6:21 PM ET
President Joe Biden’s farewell address is scheduled to take place on January 15, 2025, 8:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "malarkey" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "malarkey" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to foolish talk or nonsense. If the event is cancelled or delayed beyond January 19, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the video of the speech, however the official transcript will be used to settle cases of ambiguity.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Biden say during farewell address?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 19 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Democracy 4+ times" at 100%, followed by "Kamala Harris" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Biden say during farewell address?" has generated $608.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Biden say during farewell address?," browse the 19 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Biden say during farewell address?" is "Democracy 4+ times" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kamala Harris" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Biden say during farewell address?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

What will Biden say during farewell address?

YoutubeVideo LogoEnded

$608,359 Vol.

Polymarket

Malarkey

$16,094 Vol.

No

Trump

$102,789 Vol.

No

Hunter

$55,904 Vol.

No

Jill

$53,691 Vol.

No

Inflation

$34,075 Vol.

No

Old

$15,473 Vol.

No

Folks 3+ times

$8,129 Vol.

No

Democracy 4+ times

$25,681 Vol.

Yes

God 3+ times

$16,949 Vol.

No

Hope 3+ times

$9,924 Vol.

No

Kamala Harris

$32,870 Vol.

Yes

Felon

$15,850 Vol.

No

Crypto/Bitcoin

$149,744 Vol.

No

Pardon

$12,235 Vol.

No

Obama

$1,823 Vol.

No

Afghanistan

$615 Vol.

No

Israel

$1,787 Vol.

Yes

Ceasefire

$21,792 Vol.

Yes

Peaceful Transition

$32,932 Vol.

No

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Biden say during farewell address?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 19 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Democracy 4+ times" at 100%, followed by "Kamala Harris" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Biden say during farewell address?" has generated $608.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Biden say during farewell address?," browse the 19 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Biden say during farewell address?" is "Democracy 4+ times" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kamala Harris" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Biden say during farewell address?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.