Market icon
政治·プライマリ

バーモント州知事共和党予備選

Market icon
政治·プライマリ

バーモント州知事共和党予備選

NEW
Polymarket
NEW

フィル・スコット

$771 Vol.

80%

ジョン・ロジャース

$0 Vol.

12%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Republican Governor Phil Scott's overwhelming popularity and history of landslide victories, including sweeping every Vermont city and town in 2024, position him as the heavy favorite at 80.5% to win the August 11 Republican primary, with no declared challengers entering the field as the May 28 filing deadline approaches. Trader consensus reflects a quiet campaign trail, bolstered by October 2025 polling showing majority support for another Scott run amid his moderate bipartisan appeal. Lieutenant Governor John Rodgers trails at 10.5% despite his prominence as a fellow pragmatic Republican and recent February reelection announcement for his current office, amid no notable primary-specific developments in the past 30 days. Upcoming announcements could shift dynamics in this low-volume market.

Incumbent Republican Governor Phil Scott's overwhelming popularity and history of landslide victories, including sweeping every Vermont city and town in 2024, position him as the heavy favorite at 80.5% to win the August 11 Republican primary, with no declared challengers entering the field as the May 28 filing deadline approaches. Trader consensus reflects a quiet campaign trail, bolstered by October 2025 polling showing majority support for another Scott run amid his moderate bipartisan appeal. Lieutenant Governor John Rodgers trails at 10.5% despite his prominence as a fellow pragmatic Republican and recent February reelection announcement for his current office, amid no notable primary-specific developments in the past 30 days. Upcoming announcements could shift dynamics in this low-volume market.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Republican Governor Phil Scott's overwhelming popularity and history of landslide victories, including sweeping every Vermont city and town in 2024, position him as the heavy favorite at 80.5% to win the August 11 Republican primary, with no declared challengers entering the field as the May 28 filing deadline approaches. Trader consensus reflects a quiet campaign trail, bolstered by October 2025 polling showing majority support for another Scott run amid his moderate bipartisan appeal. Lieutenant Governor John Rodgers trails at 10.5% despite his prominence as a fellow pragmatic Republican and recent February reelection announcement for his current office, amid no notable primary-specific developments in the past 30 days. Upcoming announcements could shift dynamics in this low-volume market.

Incumbent Republican Governor Phil Scott's overwhelming popularity and history of landslide victories, including sweeping every Vermont city and town in 2024, position him as the heavy favorite at 80.5% to win the August 11 Republican primary, with no declared challengers entering the field as the May 28 filing deadline approaches. Trader consensus reflects a quiet campaign trail, bolstered by October 2025 polling showing majority support for another Scott run amid his moderate bipartisan appeal. Lieutenant Governor John Rodgers trails at 10.5% despite his prominence as a fellow pragmatic Republican and recent February reelection announcement for his current office, amid no notable primary-specific developments in the past 30 days. Upcoming announcements could shift dynamics in this low-volume market.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「バーモント州知事共和党予備選」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「フィル・スコット」で80%、次いで「ジョン・ロジャース」が12%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、80¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に80%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「バーモント州知事共和党予備選」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Dec 11, 2025開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「バーモント州知事共和党予備選」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「バーモント州知事共和党予備選」の現在のフロントランナーは「フィル・スコット」で80%であり、市場がこの結果に80%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ジョン・ロジャース」で12%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「バーモント州知事共和党予備選」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。