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政治·プライマリ

UT -01民主党予備選挙優勝者

Market icon
政治·プライマリ

UT -01民主党予備選挙優勝者

ベン・マカダムズ 47%

Nate Blouin 47%

キャスリーン・リーベ 6.0%

ブライアン・キング 1.0%

Polymarket

$11,306 Vol.

ベン・マカダムズ 47%

Nate Blouin 47%

キャスリーン・リーベ 6.0%

ブライアン・キング 1.0%

Polymarket

$11,306 Vol.

ベン・マカダムズ

$5,494 Vol.

47%

Nate Blouin

$1,924 Vol.

47%

キャスリーン・リーベ

$0 Vol.

6%

ブライアン・キング

$0 Vol.

1%

ジェニー・ウィルソン

$0 Vol.

1%

エリン・メンデンホール

$3,486 Vol.

1%

ルス・エスカミーリャ

$0 Vol.

1%

キャロライン・グライヒ

$402 Vol.

<1%

ケール・ウェストン

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Utah's new Democratic-leaning 1st Congressional District, trader consensus reflects a razor-thin contest between former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams at 47% implied probability and state Sen. Nate Blouin at 46.5%, driven by record caucus turnout on March 18—up 67% in Salt Lake County to over 3,000 participants—signaling high enthusiasm ahead of the April 25 state convention where delegates could endorse a frontrunner. Recent forums, including a March 21 Gen Z event and progressive town halls earlier in the month, underscored ideological tensions: McAdams positions as a coalition-builder with past wins like Medicaid expansion, while Blouin leverages Sanders and Jayapal endorsements, grassroots funding, and attacks on McAdams' moderate record on unions and immigration. Absent polling, separation could come from convention outcomes, fundraising disclosures, or additional debates before the June 23 primary.

In Utah's new Democratic-leaning 1st Congressional District, trader consensus reflects a razor-thin contest between former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams at 47% implied probability and state Sen. Nate Blouin at 46.5%, driven by record caucus turnout on March 18—up 67% in Salt Lake County to over 3,000 participants—signaling high enthusiasm ahead of the April 25 state convention where delegates could endorse a frontrunner. Recent forums, including a March 21 Gen Z event and progressive town halls earlier in the month, underscored ideological tensions: McAdams positions as a coalition-builder with past wins like Medicaid expansion, while Blouin leverages Sanders and Jayapal endorsements, grassroots funding, and attacks on McAdams' moderate record on unions and immigration. Absent polling, separation could come from convention outcomes, fundraising disclosures, or additional debates before the June 23 primary.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Utah's new Democratic-leaning 1st Congressional District, trader consensus reflects a razor-thin contest between former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams at 47% implied probability and state Sen. Nate Blouin at 46.5%, driven by record caucus turnout on March 18—up 67% in Salt Lake County to over 3,000 participants—signaling high enthusiasm ahead of the April 25 state convention where delegates could endorse a frontrunner. Recent forums, including a March 21 Gen Z event and progressive town halls earlier in the month, underscored ideological tensions: McAdams positions as a coalition-builder with past wins like Medicaid expansion, while Blouin leverages Sanders and Jayapal endorsements, grassroots funding, and attacks on McAdams' moderate record on unions and immigration. Absent polling, separation could come from convention outcomes, fundraising disclosures, or additional debates before the June 23 primary.

In Utah's new Democratic-leaning 1st Congressional District, trader consensus reflects a razor-thin contest between former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams at 47% implied probability and state Sen. Nate Blouin at 46.5%, driven by record caucus turnout on March 18—up 67% in Salt Lake County to over 3,000 participants—signaling high enthusiasm ahead of the April 25 state convention where delegates could endorse a frontrunner. Recent forums, including a March 21 Gen Z event and progressive town halls earlier in the month, underscored ideological tensions: McAdams positions as a coalition-builder with past wins like Medicaid expansion, while Blouin leverages Sanders and Jayapal endorsements, grassroots funding, and attacks on McAdams' moderate record on unions and immigration. Absent polling, separation could come from convention outcomes, fundraising disclosures, or additional debates before the June 23 primary.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「UT -01民主党予備選挙優勝者」はPolymarket上の9個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ベン・マカダムズ」で47%、次いで「Nate Blouin」が47%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、47¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に47%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「UT -01民主党予備選挙優勝者」は$11.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Nov 25, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「UT -01民主党予備選挙優勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている9個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「UT -01民主党予備選挙優勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「ベン・マカダムズ」で47%であり、市場がこの結果に47%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Nate Blouin」で47%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「UT -01民主党予備選挙優勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。