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米国は3月31日までにハバナ症候群を引き起こす装置を確認しますか?

Market icon

米国は3月31日までにハバナ症候群を引き起こす装置を確認しますか?

はい

<1% 確率
Polymarket

$87,064 Vol.

はい

<1% 確率
Polymarket

$87,064 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any U.S. federal agency definitively states that a man-made device or weapon exists that is responsible for, or capable of causing, Havana Syndrome or Havana Syndrome-like symptoms by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on "No" at 100% stems from the March 31, 2026, deadline passing without any official US government confirmation—such as a statement from the Office of the Director of National Intelligence, CIA, Pentagon, or White House—identifying a specific device as the cause of anomalous health incidents known as Havana Syndrome. Recent developments, including January reports of a pulsed radio wave device with Russian components acquired undercover by Homeland Security Investigations and studied by the Pentagon, CIA reviews in Norway, and a March 60 Minutes segment on animal testing, fueled speculation but yielded no conclusive attribution. Intelligence leaders' endorsement of withdrawing a skeptical 2025 assessment signals shifting views, yet absent primary agency pronouncements, traders see insurmountable barriers to resolution. Only an extraordinary late-breaking official disclosure could alter outcomes, though procedural finality now dominates.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any U.S. federal agency definitively states that a man-made device or weapon exists that is responsible for, or capable of causing, Havana Syndrome or Havana Syndrome-like symptoms by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$87,064
終了日
2026/03/31
マーケット開始日
Jan 13, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any U.S. federal agency definitively states that a man-made device or weapon exists that is responsible for, or capable of causing, Havana Syndrome or Havana Syndrome-like symptoms by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any U.S. federal agency definitively states that a man-made device or weapon exists that is responsible for, or capable of causing, Havana Syndrome or Havana Syndrome-like symptoms by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on "No" at 100% stems from the March 31, 2026, deadline passing without any official US government confirmation—such as a statement from the Office of the Director of National Intelligence, CIA, Pentagon, or White House—identifying a specific device as the cause of anomalous health incidents known as Havana Syndrome. Recent developments, including January reports of a pulsed radio wave device with Russian components acquired undercover by Homeland Security Investigations and studied by the Pentagon, CIA reviews in Norway, and a March 60 Minutes segment on animal testing, fueled speculation but yielded no conclusive attribution. Intelligence leaders' endorsement of withdrawing a skeptical 2025 assessment signals shifting views, yet absent primary agency pronouncements, traders see insurmountable barriers to resolution. Only an extraordinary late-breaking official disclosure could alter outcomes, though procedural finality now dominates.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any U.S. federal agency definitively states that a man-made device or weapon exists that is responsible for, or capable of causing, Havana Syndrome or Havana Syndrome-like symptoms by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$87,064
終了日
2026/03/31
マーケット開始日
Jan 13, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any U.S. federal agency definitively states that a man-made device or weapon exists that is responsible for, or capable of causing, Havana Syndrome or Havana Syndrome-like symptoms by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「米国は3月31日までにハバナ症候群を引き起こす装置を確認しますか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「米国、ハバナ症候群の原因となる装置を3月31日までに確認?」で0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、0¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に0%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「米国は3月31日までにハバナ症候群を引き起こす装置を確認しますか?」は$87.1Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jan 13, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「米国は3月31日までにハバナ症候群を引き起こす装置を確認しますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「米国は3月31日までにハバナ症候群を引き起こす装置を確認しますか?」の現在のリーダーは「米国、ハバナ症候群の原因となる装置を3月31日までに確認?」でわずか0%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「米国は3月31日までにハバナ症候群を引き起こす装置を確認しますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。