Market icon
選挙·プライマリ

TX -19共和党予備選

Market icon
選挙·プライマリ

TX -19共和党予備選

トム・セル 85.5%

エイブラハム・エンリケス 7.2%

ライアン・ジンク 2.6%

マシュー・スミス 1.1%

Polymarket

$48,335 Vol.

トム・セル 85.5%

エイブラハム・エンリケス 7.2%

ライアン・ジンク 2.6%

マシュー・スミス 1.1%

Polymarket

$48,335 Vol.

トム・セル

$42,729 Vol.

86%

エイブラハム・エンリケス

$0 Vol.

7%

ライアン・ジンク

$0 Vol.

3%

マシュー・スミス

$0 Vol.

1%

ドナルド・メイ

$2,993 Vol.

1%

ジェイソン・コーリー

$0 Vol.

1%

ジェームズ・バービー

$2,613 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Tom Sell's dominant 40.4% vote share in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas' 19th Congressional District—more than double Abraham Enriquez's 18.7%—positions him as the clear frontrunner at 85.5% implied probability to win the May 26 runoff and claim the nomination to replace retiring Rep. Jodey Arrington in this safe Republican West Texas seat. Recent endorsements from several eliminated primary opponents, including Matthew Smith and Jason Corley, announced March 28, have further consolidated support around Sell's focus on local agriculture and business issues. Enriquez, at 7.2%, relies on America First messaging but faces an uphill battle in the low-turnout runoff, where historical patterns favor the March leader; remaining candidates trail below 3% after failing to advance. Early voting begins May 18.

Tom Sell's dominant 40.4% vote share in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas' 19th Congressional District—more than double Abraham Enriquez's 18.7%—positions him as the clear frontrunner at 85.5% implied probability to win the May 26 runoff and claim the nomination to replace retiring Rep. Jodey Arrington in this safe Republican West Texas seat. Recent endorsements from several eliminated primary opponents, including Matthew Smith and Jason Corley, announced March 28, have further consolidated support around Sell's focus on local agriculture and business issues. Enriquez, at 7.2%, relies on America First messaging but faces an uphill battle in the low-turnout runoff, where historical patterns favor the March leader; remaining candidates trail below 3% after failing to advance. Early voting begins May 18.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Tom Sell's dominant 40.4% vote share in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas' 19th Congressional District—more than double Abraham Enriquez's 18.7%—positions him as the clear frontrunner at 85.5% implied probability to win the May 26 runoff and claim the nomination to replace retiring Rep. Jodey Arrington in this safe Republican West Texas seat. Recent endorsements from several eliminated primary opponents, including Matthew Smith and Jason Corley, announced March 28, have further consolidated support around Sell's focus on local agriculture and business issues. Enriquez, at 7.2%, relies on America First messaging but faces an uphill battle in the low-turnout runoff, where historical patterns favor the March leader; remaining candidates trail below 3% after failing to advance. Early voting begins May 18.

Tom Sell's dominant 40.4% vote share in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas' 19th Congressional District—more than double Abraham Enriquez's 18.7%—positions him as the clear frontrunner at 85.5% implied probability to win the May 26 runoff and claim the nomination to replace retiring Rep. Jodey Arrington in this safe Republican West Texas seat. Recent endorsements from several eliminated primary opponents, including Matthew Smith and Jason Corley, announced March 28, have further consolidated support around Sell's focus on local agriculture and business issues. Enriquez, at 7.2%, relies on America First messaging but faces an uphill battle in the low-turnout runoff, where historical patterns favor the March leader; remaining candidates trail below 3% after failing to advance. Early voting begins May 18.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「TX -19共和党予備選」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「トム・セル」で86%、次いで「エイブラハム・エンリケス」が7%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、86¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に86%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「TX -19共和党予備選」は$48.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Feb 6, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「TX -19共和党予備選」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「TX -19共和党予備選」の現在のフロントランナーは「トム・セル」で86%であり、市場がこの結果に86%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「エイブラハム・エンリケス」で7%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「TX -19共和党予備選」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。