Official results from the Texas Democratic U.S. Senate primary on March 5, 2024, confirm turnout exceeded 2 million votes, with Colin Allred securing 1.39 million (58.8%) in a dominant victory that avoided a runoff. This tally, reported by the Texas Secretary of State and reflected in county canvasses, drives trader consensus to near-certainty on the 2.0M+ outcome, fueled by robust early voting participation—over 1.2 million ballots—and heightened interest in challenging Republican incumbent Ted Cruz. Factors include strong mobilization by Allred's campaign and competitive field dynamics boosting overall engagement. Realistic challenges are slim, limited to potential post-certification audits or recounts, though no disputes have emerged amid finalized statewide totals around 2.36 million.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日200万人以上 100.0%
100万人未満 <1%
100万～125万 <1%
125万～150万 <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Mar 3, 2026
100万人未満
いいえ
100万～125万
いいえ
125万～150万
いいえ
150万〜175万
いいえ
175万〜200万
いいえ
200万人以上
はい
200万人以上 100.0%
100万人未満 <1%
100万～125万 <1%
125万～150万 <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Mar 3, 2026
100万人未満
$0 Vol.
いいえ
100万～125万
$0 Vol.
いいえ
125万～150万
$0 Vol.
いいえ
150万〜175万
$0 Vol.
いいえ
175万〜200万
$0 Vol.
いいえ
200万人以上
$0 Vol.
はい
Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority.
This market will resolve according to the first-round total vote count in the Texas Democratic Senate Primary, the Race total Canvass Votes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority.
This market will resolve according to the first-round total vote count in the Texas Democratic Senate Primary, the Race total Canvass Votes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority.
This market will resolve according to the first-round total vote count in the Texas Democratic Senate Primary, the Race total Canvass Votes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority.
This market will resolve according to the first-round total vote count in the Texas Democratic Senate Primary, the Race total Canvass Votes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority.
This market will resolve according to the first-round total vote count in the Texas Democratic Senate Primary, the Race total Canvass Votes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority.
This market will resolve according to the first-round total vote count in the Texas Democratic Senate Primary, the Race total Canvass Votes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority.
This market will resolve according to the first-round total vote count in the Texas Democratic Senate Primary, the Race total Canvass Votes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority.
This market will resolve according to the first-round total vote count in the Texas Democratic Senate Primary, the Race total Canvass Votes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the first-round total vote count in the Texas Democratic Senate Primary, the Race total Canvass Votes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
マーケット開始日： Feb 4, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
Mar 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 4, 2026, 1:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...提案された結果: はい
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: はい
Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority.
This market will resolve according to the first-round total vote count in the Texas Democratic Senate Primary, the Race total Canvass Votes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority.
This market will resolve according to the first-round total vote count in the Texas Democratic Senate Primary, the Race total Canvass Votes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority.
This market will resolve according to the first-round total vote count in the Texas Democratic Senate Primary, the Race total Canvass Votes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority.
This market will resolve according to the first-round total vote count in the Texas Democratic Senate Primary, the Race total Canvass Votes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority.
This market will resolve according to the first-round total vote count in the Texas Democratic Senate Primary, the Race total Canvass Votes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority.
This market will resolve according to the first-round total vote count in the Texas Democratic Senate Primary, the Race total Canvass Votes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$0終了日
Mar 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 4, 2026, 1:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Official results from the Texas Democratic U.S. Senate primary on March 5, 2024, confirm turnout exceeded 2 million votes, with Colin Allred securing 1.39 million (58.8%) in a dominant victory that avoided a runoff. This tally, reported by the Texas Secretary of State and reflected in county canvasses, drives trader consensus to near-certainty on the 2.0M+ outcome, fueled by robust early voting participation—over 1.2 million ballots—and heightened interest in challenging Republican incumbent Ted Cruz. Factors include strong mobilization by Allred's campaign and competitive field dynamics boosting overall engagement. Realistic challenges are slim, limited to potential post-certification audits or recounts, though no disputes have emerged amid finalized statewide totals around 2.36 million.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問