Trump's continued active leadership amid escalating Iran tensions, including recent national addresses declaring the conflict nearing resolution and a Strait of Hormuz deadline on April 6, underpins trader consensus at 98% against him exiting the presidency by April 30. No impeachment proceedings have advanced in the Republican-controlled Congress, despite scattered Democratic rhetoric in late March, and the 25th Amendment remains uninvoked with cabinet loyalty intact. Debunked social media rumors of hospitalization over the April 4 weekend failed to gain traction. Realistic shifts could stem from sudden health events, war-related political backlash triggering resignation pressure, or unforeseen legal developments, though structural barriers like incumbency and midterm timelines favor continuity.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
$2,172,484 Vol.
$2,172,484 Vol.
2026/04/30
はい
$2,172,484 Vol.
$2,172,484 Vol.
2026/04/30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's continued active leadership amid escalating Iran tensions, including recent national addresses declaring the conflict nearing resolution and a Strait of Hormuz deadline on April 6, underpins trader consensus at 98% against him exiting the presidency by April 30. No impeachment proceedings have advanced in the Republican-controlled Congress, despite scattered Democratic rhetoric in late March, and the 25th Amendment remains uninvoked with cabinet loyalty intact. Debunked social media rumors of hospitalization over the April 4 weekend failed to gain traction. Realistic shifts could stem from sudden health events, war-related political backlash triggering resignation pressure, or unforeseen legal developments, though structural barriers like incumbency and midterm timelines favor continuity.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
音量
$2,172,484終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's continued active leadership amid escalating Iran tensions, including recent national addresses declaring the conflict nearing resolution and a Strait of Hormuz deadline on April 6, underpins trader consensus at 98% against him exiting the presidency by April 30. No impeachment proceedings have advanced in the Republican-controlled Congress, despite scattered Democratic rhetoric in late March, and the 25th Amendment remains uninvoked with cabinet loyalty intact. Debunked social media rumors of hospitalization over the April 4 weekend failed to gain traction. Realistic shifts could stem from sudden health events, war-related political backlash triggering resignation pressure, or unforeseen legal developments, though structural barriers like incumbency and midterm timelines favor continuity.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$2,172,734終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's continued active leadership amid escalating Iran tensions, including recent national addresses declaring the conflict nearing resolution and a Strait of Hormuz deadline on April 6, underpins trader consensus at 98% against him exiting the presidency by April 30. No impeachment proceedings have advanced in the Republican-controlled Congress, despite scattered Democratic rhetoric in late March, and the 25th Amendment remains uninvoked with cabinet loyalty intact. Debunked social media rumors of hospitalization over the April 4 weekend failed to gain traction. Realistic shifts could stem from sudden health events, war-related political backlash triggering resignation pressure, or unforeseen legal developments, though structural barriers like incumbency and midterm timelines favor continuity.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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