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Trump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days?

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Trump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days?

>99% 確率
Polymarket

$1,142,692 Vol.

>99% 確率
Polymarket

$1,142,692 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action enacting a general 40% or greater tariff on imports in to the United States from the People's Republic of China by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A general tariff that includes item specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general 40% or greater tariff on imports in to the United States from People's Republic of China is enacted. Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect. If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No". This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action enacting a general 40% or greater tariff on imports in to the United States from the People's Republic of China by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A general tariff that includes item specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general 40% or greater tariff on imports in to the United States from People's Republic of China is enacted.

Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect.

If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
音量
$1,142,692
終了日
2025/04/29
マーケット開始日
Nov 19, 2024, 6:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action enacting a general 40% or greater tariff on imports in to the United States from the People's Republic of China by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A general tariff that includes item specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general 40% or greater tariff on imports in to the United States from People's Republic of China is enacted. Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect. If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No". This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action enacting a general 40% or greater tariff on imports in to the United States from the People's Republic of China by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A general tariff that includes item specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general 40% or greater tariff on imports in to the United States from People's Republic of China is enacted. Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect. If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No". This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action enacting a general 40% or greater tariff on imports in to the United States from the People's Republic of China by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A general tariff that includes item specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general 40% or greater tariff on imports in to the United States from People's Republic of China is enacted.

Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect.

If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
音量
$1,142,692
終了日
2025/04/29
マーケット開始日
Nov 19, 2024, 6:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action enacting a general 40% or greater tariff on imports in to the United States from the People's Republic of China by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A general tariff that includes item specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general 40% or greater tariff on imports in to the United States from People's Republic of China is enacted. Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect. If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No". This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Trump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して100%です。例えば、「はい」が100¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を100%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Trump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days?」は$1.1 millionの総取引量を生み出しています(Nov 19, 2024のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Trump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days?」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「Trump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して100%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を100%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

「Trump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。