Recent reports from The Information and Bloomberg reveal SpaceX is preparing to file its IPO prospectus this week, targeting a record $1.75 trillion valuation and up to $75 billion raise for a potential June listing, propelling trader consensus to the 1.5T-2.0T bracket at 51.5% implied probability while the adjacent 2.0T-2.5T outcome holds 24%. This surge builds on December 2025's $800 billion tender offer valuation, driven by Starlink's explosive growth—including a March 29 Falcon 9 launch deploying 119 satellites—and Starship's reusability advancements boosting payload dominance toward 98% of global orbital mass. April investor briefings loom as the next catalyst, though Musk's past emphasis on operational maturity introduces modest uncertainty for outcomes beyond 2.5T.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日1.5T-2.0T 52%
2.0T-2.5T 24%
1.0T-1.5T 10%
2.5T-3.0T 5.3%
$1,516,558 Vol.
$1,516,558 Vol.
<1.0T
2%
1.0T-1.5T
10%
1.5T-2.0T
52%
2.0T-2.5T
24%
2.5T-3.0T
5%
3.0T-3.5T
3%
3.5兆ドル以上
2%
No IPO before 2028
3%
1.5T-2.0T 52%
2.0T-2.5T 24%
1.0T-1.5T 10%
2.5T-3.0T 5.3%
$1,516,558 Vol.
$1,516,558 Vol.
<1.0T
2%
1.0T-1.5T
10%
1.5T-2.0T
52%
2.0T-2.5T
24%
2.5T-3.0T
5%
3.0T-3.5T
3%
3.5兆ドル以上
2%
No IPO before 2028
3%
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日: Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent reports from The Information and Bloomberg reveal SpaceX is preparing to file its IPO prospectus this week, targeting a record $1.75 trillion valuation and up to $75 billion raise for a potential June listing, propelling trader consensus to the 1.5T-2.0T bracket at 51.5% implied probability while the adjacent 2.0T-2.5T outcome holds 24%. This surge builds on December 2025's $800 billion tender offer valuation, driven by Starlink's explosive growth—including a March 29 Falcon 9 launch deploying 119 satellites—and Starship's reusability advancements boosting payload dominance toward 98% of global orbital mass. April investor briefings loom as the next catalyst, though Musk's past emphasis on operational maturity introduces modest uncertainty for outcomes beyond 2.5T.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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