Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Paramount Global closing an acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery assets or the full entity at 75% implied probability, driven by recent reports of preliminary merger discussions amid both firms' streaming losses and cost-cutting pressures. Paramount's position strengthened after Skydance's $8 billion Paramount deal advanced through initial regulatory hurdles, freeing resources for bolt-on deals, while antitrust scrutiny from the DOJ remains a key risk elevating "None by June 30, 2027" to 16%. Netflix and Comcast trail at 2.5% and 0.2%, reflecting their focus on organic growth over mega-mergers; upcoming FCC reviews and Q3 earnings could shift odds further.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日パラマウント 75%
2027年6月30日までに該当なし 16%
Netflix 2.5%
コムキャスト <1%
$935,903 Vol.
$935,903 Vol.
パラマウント
75%
2027年6月30日までに該当なし
16%
Netflix
2%
コムキャスト
<1%
パラマウント 75%
2027年6月30日までに該当なし 16%
Netflix 2.5%
コムキャスト <1%
$935,903 Vol.
$935,903 Vol.
パラマウント
75%
2027年6月30日までに該当なし
16%
Netflix
2%
コムキャスト
<1%
Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify.
Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify.
If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027".
Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.
マーケット開始日: Dec 8, 2025, 1:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Paramount Global closing an acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery assets or the full entity at 75% implied probability, driven by recent reports of preliminary merger discussions amid both firms' streaming losses and cost-cutting pressures. Paramount's position strengthened after Skydance's $8 billion Paramount deal advanced through initial regulatory hurdles, freeing resources for bolt-on deals, while antitrust scrutiny from the DOJ remains a key risk elevating "None by June 30, 2027" to 16%. Netflix and Comcast trail at 2.5% and 0.2%, reflecting their focus on organic growth over mega-mergers; upcoming FCC reviews and Q3 earnings could shift odds further.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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