Trader consensus strongly favors Paramount Global at 75% implied probability to close a Warner Bros. acquisition, driven by recent reports of exploratory merger discussions between Warner Bros. Discovery and Paramount amid WBD's efforts to address heavy debt and streaming losses. Paramount's position strengthened after its Skydance merger advanced, positioning it for scale in a consolidating media landscape. The 16% on none by June 30, 2027, reflects antitrust risks from FTC scrutiny under current policy, though media mergers have precedent. Netflix (2.6%) and Comcast (0.1%) trail due to no confirmed interest and higher regulatory hurdles for larger players. Upcoming earnings and deal announcements could shift odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日パラマウント 75%
2027年6月30日までに該当なし 16%
Netflix 2.6%
コムキャスト <1%
$933,576 Vol.
$933,576 Vol.
パラマウント
75%
2027年6月30日までに該当なし
16%
Netflix
3%
コムキャスト
<1%
パラマウント 75%
2027年6月30日までに該当なし 16%
Netflix 2.6%
コムキャスト <1%
$933,576 Vol.
$933,576 Vol.
パラマウント
75%
2027年6月30日までに該当なし
16%
Netflix
3%
コムキャスト
<1%
Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify.
Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify.
If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027".
Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.
マーケット開始日: Dec 8, 2025, 1:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus strongly favors Paramount Global at 75% implied probability to close a Warner Bros. acquisition, driven by recent reports of exploratory merger discussions between Warner Bros. Discovery and Paramount amid WBD's efforts to address heavy debt and streaming losses. Paramount's position strengthened after its Skydance merger advanced, positioning it for scale in a consolidating media landscape. The 16% on none by June 30, 2027, reflects antitrust risks from FTC scrutiny under current policy, though media mergers have precedent. Netflix (2.6%) and Comcast (0.1%) trail due to no confirmed interest and higher regulatory hurdles for larger players. Upcoming earnings and deal announcements could shift odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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